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The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +6.79$

Invest 9.85$

Average return 16.64$

ROI +69.0%

Chance of profit 76%

With float: invest at least 24.98 $, profit at most −8.34 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.67 $

at 0.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

8.63 $

at 1.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.85 $ +6.79 (+69.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0762

2.01 $

at 0.67

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

6.96 $

at 1.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1680

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.52 $ +1.90 (+19.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

1.34 $

at 0.67

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

1.16 $

at 1.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

6.47 $

at 1.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.84 $ +5.50 (+55.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

2.01 $

at 0.67

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

3.48 $

at 1.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Sandstorm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1637

0.86 $

at 0.86

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

3.24 $

at 1.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.59 $ +3.79 (+39.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

2.01 $

at 0.67

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ AUG | Amber Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

5.80 $

at 1.16

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1636

0.55 $

at 0.55

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

1.08 $

at 1.08

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 9.44 $ +2.63 (+27.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 76%
Losing outcome 2%
About break-even 22%

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

20.87 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

31.17 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

16.32 $ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

11.19 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | PAW

Factory New

float up to 0.027777

13.55 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

12.46 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | High Seas

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

8.23 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MP7 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.044444

14.60 $ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Toy Soldier

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

13.05 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Horizon Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Horizon Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.55 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2128974 · The Genesis Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 7.03$ · invest 9.74$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169842 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076901 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2135364 · The Phoenix Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 7.02$ · invest 9.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2135169 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 6.78$ · invest 9.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169842 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076901 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2135416 · The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 6.68$ · invest 9.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Zander (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162214 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074248 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2114579 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.67$ · invest 9.56$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166549 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075756 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2127633 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.67$ · invest 9.55$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169842 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076901 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2125039 · The Fever Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.63$ · invest 9.40$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169842 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076901 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2132358 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.61$ · invest 9.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Dark Sigil (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164218 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074945 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2118230 · The Chroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.59$ · invest 10.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166549 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075756 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2125912 · The Fracture Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.55$ · invest 9.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2135230 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.53$ · invest 9.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169842 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076901 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2119223 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 9.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169842 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076901 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2122760 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 9.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Foresight (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2135256 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 6.51$ · invest 9.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166134 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075612 instead of 0.074959
Craft 2131697 · The Huntsman Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 6.35$ · invest 10.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested): float at most 0.169842 instead of 0.164257; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076901 instead of 0.074959

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build