to all crafts

The Horizon Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit −6 875.56₴

Invest 12 204.51₴

Average return 5 328.96₴

ROI −56.3%

Chance of profit 22%

If buying now (with float)

invest 12 326.91₴ · profit −6 997.95₴ (−56.8%) · chance of profit 22%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Well-Worn) × 4 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 70.29 → 71.35 ₴

Glock-18 | Warhawk (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 56.37 → 56.94 ₴

Tec-9 | Terrace (Battle-Scarred) × 3 100% of the wear range fits ×1.01 12 077.85 → 12 198.63 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

The gain is understated. 1 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 7.5% of the probability.

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 1. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 7.5% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −8 835.57 ₴.

+ a third collection

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×4

Tec-9 | Snek-9

Well-Worn

any lot

70.29 ₴

at 17.57

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Warhawk

Battle-Scarred

any lot

56.37 ₴

at 18.79

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Terrace

Battle-Scarred

any lot

12 077.85 ₴

at 4 025.95

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12 204.51 ₴ −6 875.56 (−56.3%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 70%
Above the Steam cap 8%

at a loss

AWP | PAW

Well-Worn

float up to 0.390000

102.95 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780000

26.45 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | High Seas

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.546000

36.86 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Powercore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.624000

40.49 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Toy Soldier

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780000

39.26 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 壱

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585000

not on Steam: above the cap 7.50%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Sunset Storm 弐

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.585000

26 473.66 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Neon Kimono

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.624000

24 724.28 ₴ 7.50%

price without deals price cut

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Daybreak

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.468000

26 666.83 ₴ 7.50%

sell on CSFloat price cut

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 5 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Rising Sun Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −7 963.97 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 461.28 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Rising Sun Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131337 · The Horizon Collection + The Rising Sun Collection · profit −6 875.57₴ · invest 12 204.51₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs

AWP | PAW: Field-Tested instead of Well-Worn; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Well-Worn): float at most 0.446089 instead of 0.450000; Glock-18 | Warhawk (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.969273 instead of 1.000000; Tec-9 | Terrace (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.969273 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2131338 · The Horizon Collection + The Rising Sun Collection · profit −6 879.10₴ · invest 12 208.17₴
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs

AWP | PAW: Battle-Scarred instead of Well-Worn; Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Well-Worn): 1 pcs instead of 4; Glock-18 | Warhawk (Battle-Scarred): 6 pcs instead of 3

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Rising Sun Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build