to all crafts

The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +240.21$

Invest 178.43$

Average return 418.63$

ROI +134.6%

Chance of profit 95%

With float: invest at least 452.54 $, profit at most −33.91 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −160 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

10.59 $

at 10.59

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

11.72 $

at 11.72

Steam

×8

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

156.12 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 178.43 $ +240.21 (+134.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −26 $

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

52.95 $

at 10.59

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

42.80 $

at 21.40

Steam

×3

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

58.55 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 154.30 $ +107.01 (+69.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −70 $

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

42.36 $

at 10.59

Steam

×1

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

21.40 $

at 21.40

Steam

×5

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

97.58 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 161.34 $ +152.41 (+94.5%)

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

63.54 $

at 10.59

Steam

×2

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

42.80 $

at 21.40

Steam

×2

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

39.03 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.37 $ +89.72 (+61.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

49.89 $

at 9.98

Steam

×4

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

85.61 $

at 21.40

Steam

×1

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

11.72 $

at 11.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 147.21 $ +61.66 (+41.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 95%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.91 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

273.26 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Neon Rider

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

224.25 $ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

Desert Eagle | Code Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

195.84 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +165.65 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +185.97 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 16 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2138274 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 243.98$ · invest 182.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −182 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2116717 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 241.50$ · invest 181.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −181 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162859 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074472 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2129437 · The Genesis Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 241.49$ · invest 179.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −168 $ rare inputs

MP7 | Smoking Kills (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2122213 · The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 241.44$ · invest 179.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −179 $ rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2124636 · The Falchion Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 241.33$ · invest 177.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −167 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2134996 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 240.43$ · invest 195.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2135951 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 237.60$ · invest 176.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −168 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Justice (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2137723 · The Revolver Case Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 237.55$ · invest 178.82$
profit on prices without salesat least −179 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166090 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075596 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2125534 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 237.50$ · invest 174.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2128068 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 237.30$ · invest 182.24$
profit on prices without salesat least −170 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2123345 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 236.82$ · invest 175.88$
profit on prices without salesat least −164 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2138649 · The Snakebite Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 235.89$ · invest 173.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −164 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | XOXO (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162546 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074363 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2138820 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 235.71$ · invest 182.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −165 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074787 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2127350 · The Gallery Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 234.62$ · invest 178.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −172 $ rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2139297 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 228.73$ · invest 180.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −176 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095
Craft 2139374 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 227.15$ · invest 187.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −188 $ rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Devourer (Minimal Wear); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163167 instead of 0.161774; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074580 instead of 0.074095

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build