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The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +20.90$

Invest 35.59$

Average return 56.49$

ROI +58.7%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 85.57 $, profit at most −29.08 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

17.88 $

at 5.96

Steam

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

17.71 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 35.59 $ +20.90 (+58.7%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

23.24 $

at 3.32

Steam

×2

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

11.92 $

at 5.96

Steam

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

2.53 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 37.69 $ +12.79 (+33.9%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

6.64 $

at 3.32

Steam

×3

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

17.88 $

at 5.96

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2.08 $

at 2.08

Steam

×4

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

10.12 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.72 $ +17.76 (+48.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

19.92 $

at 3.32

Steam

×2

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

11.92 $

at 5.96

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

5.06 $

at 2.53

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36.90 $ +14.58 (+39.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

134.33 $ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

38.87 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

32.05 $ 23.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135294

144.59 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.017647

12.31 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119411

13.77 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.00 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19.03 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2137142 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 24.68$ · invest 20.41$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075460 instead of 0.077063
Craft 2120861 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 22.13$ · invest 24.19$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077243 instead of 0.077063
Craft 2136079 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.30$ · invest 23.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077243 instead of 0.077063
Craft 2129825 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 21.07$ · invest 42.35$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076237 instead of 0.077063
Craft 2138133 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 20.70$ · invest 42.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested), MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075659 instead of 0.077063
Craft 2109866 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 20.50$ · invest 43.04$
profit on prices without salesat least −12 $ rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New), M249 | Nebula Crusader (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Guardian (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.077063

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build