to all crafts

The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +306.55₽

Invest 650.89₽

Average return 957.44₽

ROI +47.1%

Chance of profit 53%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 1 601.78₽ · profit at most −644.35₽ (−40.2%) · chance of profit at most 12%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 450.94 → 1 149.90 ₽

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) × 3 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 199.95 → 451.89 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −66 ₽

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×7

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

450.94 ₽

at 64.42

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

199.95 ₽

at 66.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 650.89 ₽ +306.55 (+47.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 53%
Losing outcome 47%

in profit

FAMAS | Sergeant

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 290.73 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MAC-10 | Heat

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

1 158.51 ₽ 17.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Pulse

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127777

627.71 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.021111

339.61 ₽ 17.50%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.044444

2 538.52 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.033888

1 103.71 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.055555

3 668.84 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

455.07 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.022222

619.78 ₽ 6.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +145.32 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +246.24 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2131528 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 372.54₽ · invest 729.38₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162677
Craft 2134963 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 357.35₽ · invest 582.92₽
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162677
Craft 2118552 · The Chroma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 339.15₽ · invest 714.56₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162677
Craft 2111180 · The Ascent Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 332.57₽ · invest 713.42₽
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.162677
Craft 2117679 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 329.36₽ · invest 555.14₽
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163312 instead of 0.162677
Craft 2137644 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 329.34₽ · invest 607.28₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.162677

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build