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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 228.37₽

Invest 2 737.49₽

Average return 3 965.86₽

ROI +44.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 6 574.52 ₽, profit at most −2 608.66 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

696.81 ₽

at 232.27

Steam

×6

FAMAS | Sergeant

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

1 691.04 ₽

at 281.84

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

349.64 ₽

at 349.64

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 737.49 ₽ +1 228.37 (+44.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 68%
About break-even 2%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

12 275.74 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Antique

Factory New

float up to 0.024999

1 045.29 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Trigon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.135833

1 169.11 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

2 000.00 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

1 996.54 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

1 445.79 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.121666

3 105.66 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 only The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +802.40 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 143.60 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2109820 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1 316.18₽ · invest 3 140.87₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163155 instead of 0.164195; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163155 instead of 0.164195
Craft 2123507 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1 217.57₽ · invest 2 587.85₽
sells slowly

P2000 | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164894 instead of 0.164195; FAMAS | Sergeant (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164894 instead of 0.164195

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build