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The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +236.93$

Invest 172.91$

Average return 409.85$

ROI +137.0%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 427.94 $, profit at most −18.09 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −168 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

12.87 $

at 12.87

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1619

23.43 $

at 11.72

Steam

×7

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

136.61 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 172.91 $ +236.93 (+137.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Trigon

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

9.87 $

at 9.87

Steam

×6

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

77.23 $

at 12.87

Steam

×3

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1698

35.15 $

at 11.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 122.25 $ +77.54 (+63.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −125 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

51.49 $

at 12.87

Steam

×3

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

35.15 $

at 11.72

Steam

×3

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

58.55 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 145.18 $ +159.64 (+110.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −156 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Antique

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

25.74 $

at 12.87

Steam

×2

Nova | Bloomstick

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

23.43 $

at 11.72

Steam

×6

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

117.09 $

at 19.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 166.27 $ +208.57 (+125.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.91 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Bullet Rain

Factory New

float up to 0.050799

273.26 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AUG | Chameleon

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

101.14 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.237399

116.81 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Revolution Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Prisma 2 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +163.79 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +183.05 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Phoenix Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2136376 · The Prisma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 247.82$ · invest 169.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −169 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161898 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074138 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2128740 · The Gamma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 243.31$ · invest 175.44$
profit on prices without salesat least −157 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162207 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074245 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2132917 · The Kilowatt Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 240.38$ · invest 168.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162410 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074316 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2126379 · The Fracture Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 240.08$ · invest 166.65$
profit on prices without salesat least −160 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2117755 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 240.01$ · invest 181.35$
profit on prices without salesat least −181 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162466 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074336 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2119716 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 239.23$ · invest 169.55$
profit on prices without salesat least −161 $ rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162384 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2137077 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 238.95$ · invest 170.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162429 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2114993 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 238.75$ · invest 171.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −169 $ rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162131 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2137437 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 237.83$ · invest 171.35$
profit on prices without salesat least −163 $ rare inputs

AWP | Duality (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162480 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074340 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2113966 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 235.41$ · invest 185.75$
profit on prices without salesat least −178 $ rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New)
Craft 2132060 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 235.06$ · invest 197.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −194 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Cyrex (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2138981 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 234.01$ · invest 179.41$
profit on prices without salesat least −166 $ rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162319 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2121178 · The Danger Zone Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 233.21$ · invest 172.18$
profit on prices without salesat least −167 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162268 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2118608 · The Chroma Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 230.76$ · invest 182.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −170 $ rare inputs

P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162361 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074299 instead of 0.074142
Craft 2139052 · The Sport & Field Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 225.47$ · invest 193.29$
profit on prices without salesat least −175 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Rainbow Spoon (Factory New) instead of Nova | Antique (Factory New); Nova | Bloomstick (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162323 instead of 0.161909; P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074286 instead of 0.074142

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build