The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +319.52₽

Invest 971.43₽

Average return 1 290.95₽

ROI +32.9%

Chance of profit 39%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 408.80₽ · profit at most −1 117.85₽ (−46.4%) · chance of profit at most 16%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) × 2 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 124.56 → 275.28 ₽

Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested) × 1 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 66.65 → 143.96 ₽

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear) × 7 6% of the wear range fits at least ×2.55 780.22 → 1 989.56 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

M4A1-S | Rose Hex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

124.56 ₽

at 62.28

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

66.65 ₽

at 66.65

Steam

×7

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

780.22 ₽

at 111.46

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 971.43 ₽ +319.52 (+32.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 32%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 23%

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

2 538.52 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

1 103.71 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 668.84 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

455.07 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

619.78 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

about break-even

Desert Eagle | Mulberry

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

1 169.94 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Glitched Paint

Factory New

float up to 0.046899

484.27 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Bleeding Edge

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

488.47 ₽ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Shadow Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 only The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +120.33 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +232.87 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Radiant Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2112482 · The Boreal Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 317.16₽ · invest 909.83₽
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2124551 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 317.16₽ · invest 967.93₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2128668 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 314.50₽ · invest 938.67₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2130902 · The Harlequin Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 304.25₽ · invest 991.11₽
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2132823 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 304.21₽ · invest 897.13₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163933 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074846 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2126306 · The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 302.69₽ · invest 903.33₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163939 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2123267 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 301.38₽ · invest 893.51₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163325 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074634 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2127247 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 300.48₽ · invest 962.05₽
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163949 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074852 instead of 0.074485
Craft 2135889 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 300.01₽ · invest 932.77₽
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New); Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163485 instead of 0.162896; PP-Bizon | Photic Zone (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074690 instead of 0.074485

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Radiant Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build