The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +193.25₴

Invest 359.75₴

Average return 553.00₴

ROI +53.7%

Chance of profit 36%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 904.46₴ · profit at most −351.46₴ (−38.9%) · chance of profit at most 18%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 8.85 → 19.12 ₴

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) × 8 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 296.25 → 767.30 ₴

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 54.65 → 118.04 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

8.85 ₴

at 8.85

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

296.25 ₴

at 37.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

54.65 ₴

at 54.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 359.75 ₴ +193.25 (+53.7%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

17.71 ₴

at 8.85

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

259.22 ₴

at 37.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

54.65 ₴

at 54.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 331.57 ₴ +177.27 (+53.5%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

26.56 ₴

at 8.85

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

222.19 ₴

at 37.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

54.65 ₴

at 54.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 303.40 ₴ +161.28 (+53.2%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

53.12 ₴

at 8.85

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

111.09 ₴

at 37.03

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

54.65 ₴

at 54.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 218.86 ₴ +113.34 (+51.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Slate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 329.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.067899

503.02 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Button Masher

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

193.83 ₴ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

175.69 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

231.45 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

287.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

float up to 0.045499

85.86 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

100.70 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

288.72 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

131.68 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 only The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +108.31 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +167.59 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2135772 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 204.29₴ · invest 367.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2114818 · The CS20 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 199.26₴ · invest 368.16₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.076511; StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2127863 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 199.19₴ · invest 367.75₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2125309 · The Fever Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 197.44₴ · invest 360.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2118433 · The Chroma Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 195.58₴ · invest 397.19₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ M249 | System Lock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Junk Yard (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.076511; StatTrak™ Nova | Windblown (Factory New): float at most 0.004176 instead of 0.005697
Craft 2119501 · The Clutch Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 192.35₴ · invest 363.08₴
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Roadblock (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Snakebite Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build