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The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +101.45$

Invest 104.90$

Average return 206.35$

ROI +96.7%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 256.77 $, profit at most −50.42 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P250 | Visions

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

59.85 $

at 9.98

Steam

×4

MP9 | Latte Rush

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1651

45.05 $

at 11.26

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 104.90 $ +101.45 (+96.7%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

best

AWP | LongDog

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

445.00 $ 40.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

89.72 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

107.96 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Revolution Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +55.95 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +77.28 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2128644 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 127.62$ · invest 137.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162409 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2117653 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 107.82$ · invest 172.91$
profit on prices without salesat least −18 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165694 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2114914 · The CS20 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 100.25$ · invest 113.94$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161675 instead of 0.165131
Craft 2122094 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 96.35$ · invest 179.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ rare inputs

P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of P250 | Visions (Factory New); MP9 | Latte Rush (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167164 instead of 0.165131

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build