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The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +35.54$

Invest 91.46$

Average return 126.99$

ROI +38.9%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 224.11 $, profit at most −97.12 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

3.52 $

at 3.52

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

61.78 $

at 7.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

26.15 $

at 26.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.46 $ +35.54 (+38.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −17 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

3.52 $

at 3.52

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

54.06 $

at 7.72

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

52.30 $

at 26.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 109.88 $ +28.00 (+25.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −47 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

3.52 $

at 3.52

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

46.34 $

at 7.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

78.45 $

at 26.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 128.31 $ +20.47 (+15.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −77 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

3.52 $

at 3.52

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

38.61 $

at 7.72

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

104.60 $

at 26.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 146.74 $ +12.94 (+8.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −107 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1729

3.52 $

at 3.52

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

30.89 $

at 7.72

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

130.75 $

at 26.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 165.17 $ +5.41 (+3.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

47.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

220.01 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.106874

279.80 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

237.83 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +30.62 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2117442 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 39.01$ · invest 80.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2125204 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 38.69$ · invest 75.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2119388 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 38.54$ · invest 71.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162431 instead of 0.172999; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074324 instead of 0.077999
Craft 2119389 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 36.46$ · invest 78.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165888 instead of 0.172999; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075526 instead of 0.077999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build