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The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +143.65₴

Invest 213.38₴

Average return 357.03₴

ROI +67.3%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 523.40 ₴, profit at most −166.37 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

35.87 ₴

at 17.93

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

155.67 ₴

at 22.24

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

21.85 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213.38 ₴ +143.65 (+67.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

35.87 ₴

at 17.93

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

22.24 ₴

at 22.24

Steam

×6

SG 553 | Heavy Metal

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

94.86 ₴

at 15.81

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Oscillator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

21.85 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 174.81 ₴ +51.88 (+29.7%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 29%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.064948

996.60 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072164

113.73 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.044742

276.73 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.064948

355.22 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Slate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072164

342.53 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

286.18 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Button Masher

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072164

46.30 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | dev_texture

Factory New

float up to 0.046907

85.10 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Cyber Shell

Factory New

float up to 0.061340

168.66 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +74.47 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +109.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2136073 · The Prisma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 154.09₴ · invest 213.76₴
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Whitefish (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035
Craft 2138126 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 149.59₴ · invest 228.36₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035
Craft 2125252 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 147.48₴ · invest 199.40₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035
Craft 2129170 · The Genesis Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 146.97₴ · invest 202.35₴
rare inputs

P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035
Craft 2121910 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 146.82₴ · invest 202.11₴
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Fusion (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035
Craft 2138102 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 144.49₴ · invest 214.10₴
rare inputs pricier variants exist

Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035
Craft 2109501 · The Arabesque Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 138.88₴ · invest 232.03₴
rare inputs

FAMAS | Snake Song (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074073 instead of 0.075035

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build