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The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +10.96$

Invest 14.46$

Average return 25.42$

ROI +75.8%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 35.93 $, profit at most −10.51 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MAC-10 | Rangeen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1.00 $

at 1.00

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

1.65 $

at 0.82

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

11.81 $

at 1.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14.46 $ +10.96 (+75.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

0.80 $

at 0.40

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

1.98 $

at 0.49

Steam

×1

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

0.82 $

at 0.82

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

5.06 $

at 1.69

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.66 $ +4.76 (+54.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

8.97 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85.89 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

30.19 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.92 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

5.84 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.53 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.054249

6.16 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Wingshot

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

3.03 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 only The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.37 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.93 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 46 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2134953 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.66$ · invest 14.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161976 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074165 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2101951 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.63$ · invest 14.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162759 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2111174 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.61$ · invest 14.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2136626 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.58$ · invest 14.19$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2112474 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.56$ · invest 13.83$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2116613 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.55$ · invest 13.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164126 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074913 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2134954 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.52$ · invest 14.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164182 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074933 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2130896 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.49$ · invest 14.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165948 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075547 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2127216 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.46$ · invest 14.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162132 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074219 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2107025 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.45$ · invest 14.22$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165909 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075533 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2123232 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.43$ · invest 13.74$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165832 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075506 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2134955 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.43$ · invest 14.08$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2138721 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.42$ · invest 13.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2128649 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.41$ · invest 13.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

P250 | Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163940 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074848 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2135475 · The Phoenix Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.39$ · invest 14.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163765 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074788 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2131508 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.39$ · invest 14.37$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2121058 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.38$ · invest 13.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164313 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074978 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2138867 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.38$ · invest 13.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2132797 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.38$ · invest 13.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165947 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075546 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2138553 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.37$ · invest 13.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161976 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074165 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2126289 · The Fracture Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.37$ · invest 13.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165948 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075547 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2119623 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.35$ · invest 13.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165809 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075498 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2114919 · The CS20 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.32$ · invest 14.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165882 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075524 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2138554 · The Snakebite Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.32$ · invest 13.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2127217 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.32$ · invest 14.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165835 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075508 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2113897 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.31$ · invest 14.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165571 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075416 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2117659 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.31$ · invest 14.03$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165772 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075486 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2136970 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.31$ · invest 13.84$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165948 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075547 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2137329 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.31$ · invest 13.86$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166001 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075565 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2124523 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.27$ · invest 14.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165948 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075547 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2127218 · The Gallery Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.26$ · invest 14.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165950 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075548 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2137624 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.24$ · invest 14.13$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2135868 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.23$ · invest 13.97$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2133027 · The Lake Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.19$ · invest 13.92$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Anodized Navy (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162759 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074438 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2118535 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.18$ · invest 14.34$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2132233 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.08$ · invest 14.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165863 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075517 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2131983 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.03$ · invest 14.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163100 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074556 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2125429 · The Fever Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.02$ · invest 14.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Resupply (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166104 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075601 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2137958 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.00$ · invest 14.17$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165571 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075416 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2129335 · The Genesis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.97$ · invest 14.25$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | MAGnitude (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166104 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075601 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2127967 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.97$ · invest 14.33$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New)
Craft 2139032 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.96$ · invest 14.47$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165948 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075547 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2122101 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.94$ · invest 14.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166104 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075601 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2139216 · The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.92$ · invest 14.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165571 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075416 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2131984 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.92$ · invest 14.93$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164741 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075127 instead of 0.075476
Craft 2139240 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 10.88$ · invest 15.23$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New); MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161857 instead of 0.165745; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074124 instead of 0.075476

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build