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The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +31.07$

Invest 24.95$

Average return 56.01$

ROI +124.5%

Chance of profit 33%

With float: invest at least 64.50 $, profit at most −8.49 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

R8 Revolver | Monarch

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

2.36 $

at 2.36

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

22.59 $

at 2.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.95 $ +31.07 (+124.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 67%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

8.24 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

11.78 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

29.75 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

11.52 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

13.22 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Spy Tech Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +19.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.73 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spy Tech Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2139191 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 34.15$ · invest 29.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2139203 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 33.60$ · invest 25.59$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007369 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2104679 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.45$ · invest 26.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007547 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2139162 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 33.02$ · invest 24.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004494 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2108086 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.94$ · invest 26.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2103612 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.42$ · invest 32.02$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2138361 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.25$ · invest 24.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005232 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2102722 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.15$ · invest 24.43$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2131493 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.95$ · invest 23.50$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2138124 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.79$ · invest 23.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2136245 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.78$ · invest 23.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007945 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2139017 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.61$ · invest 23.60$
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2139183 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 31.57$ · invest 24.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003780 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2129968 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.51$ · invest 26.71$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2133849 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.43$ · invest 25.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2111760 · The Bank Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.38$ · invest 24.23$
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006040 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2131973 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.30$ · invest 24.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006217 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2109589 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.25$ · invest 24.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New)
Craft 2139174 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 31.24$ · invest 24.91$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.008148
Craft 2110332 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.95$ · invest 28.70$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006114 instead of 0.008148

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build