The Spy Tech Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.

Average profit +398.90₽

Invest 953.86₽

Average return 1 352.76₽

ROI +41.8%

Chance of profit 66%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 2 416.17₽ · profit at most −1 063.40₽ (−44.0%) · chance of profit at most 2%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 757.08 → 1 991.12 ₽

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 196.78 → 425.04 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

757.08 ₽

at 84.12

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

196.78 ₽

at 196.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 953.86 ₽ +398.90 (+41.8%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×8

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

672.96 ₽

at 84.12

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

111.46 ₽

at 111.46

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

196.78 ₽

at 196.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 981.20 ₽ +383.30 (+39.1%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×7

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

588.84 ₽

at 84.12

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

222.92 ₽

at 111.46

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

196.78 ₽

at 196.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 008.54 ₽ +367.70 (+36.5%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×6

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

504.72 ₽

at 84.12

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

334.38 ₽

at 111.46

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

196.78 ₽

at 196.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 035.88 ₽ +352.10 (+34.0%)

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×3

MP9 | Spy Prototype

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

252.36 ₽

at 84.12

Steam

×6

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

668.76 ₽

at 111.46

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

196.78 ₽

at 196.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 117.90 ₽ +305.30 (+27.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 32%

in profit

AWP | Black Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 525.75 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

978.34 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

Nova | Smart Gun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 122.43 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

2 538.52 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.042699

1 103.71 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 668.84 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.031499

455.07 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

619.78 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Spy Tech Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Train Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Spy Tech Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +202.13 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +330.44 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spy Tech Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2104654 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 413.09₽ · invest 1 098.08₽
profit on prices without salesat least −184 ₽ rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076489 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2131960 · The Huntsman Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 403.74₽ · invest 881.85₽
SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075214 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2109572 · The Arabesque Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 399.39₽ · invest 926.49₽
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076511
Craft 2110325 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 374.59₽ · invest 1 275.53₽
profit on prices without salesat least −187 ₽ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New); MP9 | Spy Prototype (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074647 instead of 0.076511

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Spy Tech Collection + The Wildfire Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build