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The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +15 246.50₸

Invest 11 615.15₸

Average return 26 861.65₸

ROI +131.3%

Chance of profit 34%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 29 906.95₸ · profit at most −3 045.30₸ (−10.2%) · chance of profit at most 32%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) × 9 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 10 251.49 → 26 961.43 ₸

XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear) × 1 11% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1 363.66 → 2 945.50 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

+ a third collection

How to build

11% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (estimate)

Price understated: Only 11% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

10 251.49 ₸

at 1 139.05

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0873

1 363.66 ₸

at 1 363.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11 615.15 ₸ +15 246.50 (+131.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 66%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

3 741.62 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

5 345.22 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 601.34 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

7 800.47 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

80 755.84 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002127

20 685.15 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.000851

4 842.29 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

10 137.86 ₸ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +9 748.09 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 744.85 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2139191 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 15 499.29₸ · invest 13 323.95₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2104679 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 15 178.90₸ · invest 12 074.20₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir SG 553 | Desert Blossom (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007547 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2139162 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 14 986.16₸ · invest 11 017.24₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.004494 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2108086 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 948.14₸ · invest 12 131.39₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2103612 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 712.01₸ · invest 14 529.23₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007308 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2138361 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 636.37₸ · invest 11 212.02₸
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.005232 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2102722 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 591.66₸ · invest 11 085.34₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2131493 · The Horizon Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 499.46₸ · invest 10 663.77₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2138124 · The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 424.97₸ · invest 10 705.51₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2136245 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 421.83₸ · invest 10 818.08₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Off World (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007945 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2139017 · The Sport & Field Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 346.78₸ · invest 10 711.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007889 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2139183 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 14 326.29₸ · invest 11 055.14₸
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.003780 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2129968 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 301.07₸ · invest 12 122.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2133849 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 262.52₸ · invest 11 464.42₸
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007752 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2111760 · The Bank Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 240.63₸ · invest 10 993.78₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Meteorite (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006040 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2131973 · The Huntsman Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 203.37₸ · invest 10 918.41₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006217 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2109589 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 180.10₸ · invest 11 157.02₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2139174 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 14 177.50₸ · invest 11 303.32₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2139063 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 097.53₸ · invest 11 320.53₸
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007369
Craft 2110332 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 14 047.56₸ · invest 13 022.69₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006114 instead of 0.007369

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build