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The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +11.06$

Invest 15.03$

Average return 26.09$

ROI +73.6%

Chance of profit 47%

With float: invest at least 38.27 $, profit at most −12.18 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

G3SG1 | Murky

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

0.75 $

at 0.75

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

13.50 $

at 1.69

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

0.79 $

at 0.79

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15.03 $ +11.06 (+73.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

6.75 $

at 1.69

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1691

1.57 $

at 0.79

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0766

5.25 $

at 1.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.57 $ +3.86 (+28.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

5.06 $

at 1.69

Steam

×2

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1665

1.57 $

at 0.79

Steam

×5

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

6.56 $

at 1.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.20 $ +2.51 (+19.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

10.12 $

at 1.69

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Jambiya

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

2.36 $

at 0.79

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Photic Zone

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

1.31 $

at 1.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.79 $ +7.10 (+51.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 53%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

8.97 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85.89 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

30.19 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

2.92 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Valence

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.90 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Factory New

float up to 0.053374

13.00 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Royal Legion

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

4.86 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

float up to 0.039374

5.36 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Impire

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

7.30 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7.96 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 29 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2134952 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.66$ · invest 14.87$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2118534 · The Chroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.62$ · invest 15.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2111173 · The Ascent Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.61$ · invest 15.12$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2117658 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.60$ · invest 14.81$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

G3SG1 | Orange Crash (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074332 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074332 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2136625 · The Radiant Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.58$ · invest 14.98$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2112473 · The Boreal Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.56$ · invest 14.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2124522 · The Falchion Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.56$ · invest 14.96$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2128648 · The Gamma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.55$ · invest 14.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2130895 · The Harlequin Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.49$ · invest 15.10$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074389 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2107024 · The Achroma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.45$ · invest 15.00$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074376 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2138866 · The Spectrum Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.43$ · invest 14.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2138720 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.43$ · invest 14.66$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074323 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2113896 · The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.42$ · invest 14.79$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2139164 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.34$ · invest 14.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | 2A2F (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2104705 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.31$ · invest 17.31$
profit on prices without salesat least −10 $ rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075743 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2138143 · The Shadow Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.24$ · invest 14.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074093 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2133862 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.14$ · invest 15.14$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Vendetta (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 2132232 · The Italy Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.08$ · invest 14.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074361 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2131982 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.04$ · invest 15.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

SSG 08 | Slashed (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074002 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2109608 · The Arabesque Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.00$ · invest 14.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

FAMAS | Snake Song (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 2139079 · The Spy Tech Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.00$ · invest 14.69$
profit on prices without salesat least −6 $ rare inputs

AUG | Signal Scanner (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 2137957 · The Safehouse Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 11.00$ · invest 14.95$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2139215 · The Train Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.93$ · invest 14.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Amber Fade (Factory New) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074267 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2123637 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.84$ · invest 14.40$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Brass (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 2136266 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.84$ · invest 14.59$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Whitefish (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 2108925 · The Anubis Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.80$ · invest 15.50$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

Souvenir MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested)
Craft 2119624 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.76$ · invest 14.49$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074143 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2121059 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.75$ · invest 14.58$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074801 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074801 instead of 0.074908
Craft 2138372 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 10.49$ · invest 15.11$
profit on prices without salesat least −7 $ rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Field-Tested) instead of Tec-9 | Jambiya (Field-Tested); G3SG1 | Murky (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074191 instead of 0.074908; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074191 instead of 0.074908

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build