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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +6 838.87₴

Invest 21 966.46₴

Average return 28 805.33₴

ROI +31.1%

Chance of profit 45%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 56 252.94₴ · profit at most −27 447.60₴ (−48.8%) · chance of profit at most 45%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) × 9 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.63 18 734.85 → 49 272.65 ₴

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) × 1 8% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 3 231.62 → 6 980.29 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −21 966 ₴

+ a third collection

How to build

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×9

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

18 734.85 ₴

at 2 081.65

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0241

3 231.62 ₴

at 3 231.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 966.46 ₴ +6 838.87 (+31.1%)

profit on prices without sales at least −22 608 ₴

8% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 8% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×7

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

14 571.55 ₴

at 2 081.65

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 573.61 ₴

at 1 573.61

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0237

6 463.23 ₴

at 3 231.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 608.39 ₴ +1 516.40 (+6.7%)

profit on prices without sales at least −22 210 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 6% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

1 175.44 ₴

at 1 175.44

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

14 571.55 ₴

at 2 081.65

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0228

6 463.23 ₴

at 3 231.62

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22 210.22 ₴ +4 254.84 (+19.2%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 714.11 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

4 920.79 ₴ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

8 904.31 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 only The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 476.33 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 656.52 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2110354 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 7 440.93₴ · invest 21 552.68₴
profit on prices without salesat least −21 553 ₴ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075233 instead of 0.076575
Craft 2132012 · The Huntsman Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 7 238.72₴ · invest 23 680.05₴
profit on prices without salesat least −20 949 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076575

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build