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The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +712.79₴

Invest 2 688.45₴

Average return 3 401.24₴

ROI +26.5%

Chance of profit 80%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 6 866.70₴ · profit at most −3 465.45₴ (−50.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

M249 | Magma (Factory New) × 2 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 253.66 → 560.59 ₴

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) × 8 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.59 2 434.79 → 6 306.11 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −2 606 ₴

+ a third collection

How to build

5% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)

Price understated: Only 5% of listings fit, and listings with a rare float cost more. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.

×2

M249 | Magma

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

253.66 ₴

at 126.83

Steam

×8

MAG-7 | Memento

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0225

2 434.79 ₴

at 304.35

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 688.45 ₴ +712.79 (+26.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 20%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 940.09 ₴ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P250 | Splash

Factory New

float up to 0.061621

3 354.79 ₴ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 791.87 ₴ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Marina

Factory New

float up to 0.056081

1 196.10 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Pulse

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

1 208.11 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Rose Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.004054

333.82 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

361.26 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +528.78 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +706.18 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Winter Offensive Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 19 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2138224 · The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 720.37₴ · invest 2 265.36₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 138 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2123312 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 713.06₴ · invest 2 167.48₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 145 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022643 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2135921 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 711.97₴ · invest 2 198.66₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 146 ₴ rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2107040 · The Achroma Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 709.86₴ · invest 2 232.85₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 148 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022691 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2138941 · The Spectrum Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 708.04₴ · invest 2 200.24₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 156 ₴ rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2114964 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 708.03₴ · invest 2 224.92₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 169 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022674 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2138778 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 707.02₴ · invest 2 185.89₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 151 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2138420 · The Shattered Web Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 703.29₴ · invest 2 495.78₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 472 ₴ rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Torn (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022545 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2119690 · The Clutch Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 702.40₴ · invest 2 183.29₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 156 ₴ rare inputs

SG 553 | Aloha (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022629 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2108948 · The Anubis Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 699.91₴ · invest 2 849.90₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 660 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022559 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2139192 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 697.33₴ · invest 2 660.45₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 569 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022514 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2137964 · The Safehouse Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 689.65₴ · invest 1 953.38₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 760 ₴ rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2130034 · The Glove Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 683.55₴ · invest 2 686.41₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 175 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022545 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2133916 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 672.10₴ · invest 2 490.89₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 397 ₴ rare inputs

P90 | Cocoa Rampage (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2132235 · The Italy Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 660.38₴ · invest 2 217.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 198 ₴ rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2139319 · The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 646.83₴ · invest 2 443.01₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 211 ₴ rare inputs

MAC-10 | Lapis Gator (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022591 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2135534 · The Phoenix Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 644.65₴ · invest 1 962.53₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 918 ₴ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2115149 · The Cache Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 631.70₴ · invest 4 064.13₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 226 ₴ rare inputs

XM1014 | Bone Machine (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022662 instead of 0.022502
Craft 2113940 · The Breakout Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 595.61₴ · invest 1 923.94₴
profit on prices without salesat least −1 885 ₴ rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of M249 | Magma (Factory New); MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 8; MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New): float at most 0.022623 instead of 0.022502

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Winter Offensive Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build