StatTrak™
Mil-Spec Grade → Covert
About the craftCraft 2139692 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+56 472.64₸
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase.88 227.31₸
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.144 699.95₸
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+64.0%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.0%
From the outcome−35 542.79if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates+92 015.43money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 255 859.20₸
· profit at most −111 159.25₸
(−43.5%) · chance of profit at most 0%
The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.
!
The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Minimal Wear) × 6006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.9050 640.10 → 146 856.30 ₸
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Minimal Wear) × 4006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.9037 587.21 → 109 002.90 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Check:
⋯ More
!
profit only from resale. Without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative:
−35 542.79 ₸.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
6% of lots fit≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (estimate)
Price understated: Подходит только 6% лотов, а лоты с редким float стоят дороже; 1000 pcs needed, and about 38 sell per day — buying will take 27 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.
×600
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
50 640.10 ₸
at 84.40
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details6 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074835f′ (normalized) 0.095942wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 680 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×400
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel
Minimal Wear
buy0.0700–0.0748
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
37 587.21 ₸
at 93.97
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details4 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.074835f′ (normalized) 0.074835wear 0.0700–0.1500on the market 583 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert
Craft on only from StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 496.19 ₸.
Craft on only from StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 3 504.66 ₸.
Set · 1000 pcs88 227.31 ₸
+56 472.64
(+64.0%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.087499900outcomes come out up to 0.087499, 0.069999«No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
2 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Factory New)+1 693.94each above the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku
Field-Tested
float up to 0.260749
811.61 ₸20%
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)+209.53each above the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen
Factory New
float up to 0.052499
1 162.41 ₸20%
SteamStatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New)+514.58each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
462.84 ₸20%
SteamStatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Minimal Wear)fetches 402.49, no more than the replacement
2
Restricted → Classified
10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
9 956.55 ₸33%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Factory New)+5 153.22each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
3 394.50 ₸33%
SteamStatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Minimal Wear)fetches 2 951.76, no more than the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
2 834.86 ₸33%
SteamStatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Minimal Wear)fetches 2 465.08, no more than the replacement
3
Classified → Covert
1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 50%
About break-even 50%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.087499
21 333.47 ₸50.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Minimal Wear)net 18 550.83 ₸sells 78 a weeksell now to a buy order: 23 472.17 ₸
(you get 20 410.57 ₸)) · buy orders: 6671
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 965.10 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 21 891.61 · lots 33
on CSFloat: from 18 238.51 ₸listings: 86
on CS.Money: ~ 20 357.76 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 19 395.74 ₸listings: 67
about break-even
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
99 840.91 ₸50.00%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)net 86 818.16 ₸sells 9 a weeksell now to a buy order: 84 777.06 ₸
(you get 73 719.14 ₸)) · buy orders: 4186
sell on Market.CSGO: 78 070.75 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 85 603.90 · lots 13
on CSFloat: from 66 428.28 ₸listings: 76
on CS.Money: ~ 77 678.14 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 73 925.19 ₸listings: 61
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+49 712.34 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+54 291.71 ₸historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.