StatTrak™
Mil-Spec Grade → Covert
About the craftCraft 2139693 · ways to build: 1StatTrak™ craft. Inputs and outcome are StatTrak: a normal item won't do here, and the outcome sells at the StatTrak price, which differs from the price of the normal item.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Prices by float: this craft was not checked against the market at night (only the best are) or there were not enough listings. The numbers below are at average prices. «Check floats on Steam» will count by live listings right now.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+2 140.60₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase.4 275.50₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.6 416.10₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+50.1%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.0%
From the outcome−1 867.79if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates+4 008.39money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 12 398.94₴
· profit at most −5 982.84₴
(−48.2%) · chance of profit at most 0%
The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.
!
The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments (Field-Tested) × 5006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.902 025.23 → 5 873.18 ₴
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel (Field-Tested) × 5006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.902 250.26 → 6 525.76 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Check:
⋯ More
!
profit only from resale. Without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative:
−1 867.79 ₴.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
6% of lots fit≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (estimate)
Price understated: Подходит только 6% лотов, а лоты с редким float стоят дороже; 1000 pcs needed, and about 65 sell per day — buying will take 16 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.
×500
StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Fragments
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1643
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 025.23 ₴
at 4.05
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details5 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.164325f′ (normalized) 0.210674wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 1 520 · good ≈ 2
Market history: no data yet
×500
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Rebel
Field-Tested
buy0.1500–0.1643
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
2 250.26 ₴
at 4.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details5 per contract, for each of the 100 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.164325f′ (normalized) 0.164325wear 0.1500–0.3800on the market 789 · good ≈ 1
Market history: no data yet
1000
buy
Mil-Spec Grade
100
100 contracts
Restricted
10
10 contracts
Classified
1
1 contract
Covert
Craft on only from StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 26.35 ₴.
Craft on only from StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 158.31 ₴.
Set · 1000 pcs4 275.50 ₴
+2 140.60
(+50.1%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.187499900outcomes come out up to 0.187499, 0.149999«No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
2 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted
100 contracts of 10 · 100 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.140624
78.67 ₴20%
SteamStatTrak™ Glock-18 | Umbral Rabbit (Minimal Wear)+42.06each above the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.149999
101.26 ₴20%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A1-S | Emphorosaur-S (Minimal Wear)+61.70each above the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku
Field-Tested
float up to 0.318749
80.40 ₴20%
SteamStatTrak™ MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested)+43.55each above the replacement
sell
StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.112499
43.66 ₴20%
SteamStatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear)+11.61each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon
Field-Tested
float up to 0.187499
25.63 ₴20%
SteamStatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Banana Cannon (Field-Tested)fetches 22.29, no more than the replacement
2
Restricted → Classified
10 contracts of 10 · 10 items drop
sell
StatTrak™ AWP | Duality
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.149999
468.41 ₴33%
SteamStatTrak™ AWP | Duality (Minimal Wear)+249.00each above the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick
Field-Tested
float up to 0.187499
153.74 ₴33%
SteamStatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Field-Tested)fetches 133.69, no more than the replacement
craft on
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child
Field-Tested
float up to 0.187499
150.94 ₴33%
SteamStatTrak™ UMP-45 | Wild Child (Field-Tested)fetches 131.26, no more than the replacement
3
Classified → Covert
1 contract of 10 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Profitable outcome 0%
Losing outcome 100%
at a loss
worst
StatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot
Field-Tested
float up to 0.187499
1 604.28 ₴50.00%
SteamStatTrak™ AK-47 | Head Shot (Field-Tested)net 1 395.03 ₴sells 186 a weeksell now to a buy order: 1 474.35 ₴
(you get 1 282.05 ₴)) · buy orders: 9644
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 265.14 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 1 387.22 · lots 36
on CSFloat: from 1 143.59 ₴listings: 139
on CS.Money: ~ 1 233.50 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 1 147.64 ₴listings: 63
at a loss
best
StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau
Minimal Wear
float up to 0.149999
3 933.45 ₴50.00%
SteamStatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear)net 3 420.39 ₴sells about 39 a week (data for 6 days of 7))no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 3 182.21 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 3 489.26 · lots 24
on CSFloat: from 2 964.17 ₴listings: 109
on CS.Money: ~ 3 233.88 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 3 155.22 ₴listings: 85
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+1 750.36 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+2 014.97 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.