The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +12 758.33₴

Invest 49 060.05₴

Average return 61 818.38₴

ROI +26.0%

Chance of profit 77%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 121 178.33₴ · profit at most −59 359.95₴ (−49.0%) · chance of profit at most 5%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 5 19% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 49 060.05 → 121 178.33 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:

Buy on Sell on

profit on prices without sales If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −5 265 ₴

The gain is understated. 2 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 9.1% of the probability.

Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 13. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 59.1% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −31 036.70 ₴.

How to build

19% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)

×5

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

49 060.05 ₴

at 9 812.01

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 49 060.05 ₴ +12 758.33 (+26.0%)

What you get 22 outcomes

Profitable outcome 77%
Losing outcome 9%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 9%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 635.35 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 522.15 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 879.50 ₴ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 575.75 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 713.61 ₴ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 622.59 ₴ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 943.53 ₴ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 434.04 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 935.38 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 423.76 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 383.82 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 412.31 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.55%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 885.16 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 409.78 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 068.76 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 367.25 ₴ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 980.18 ₴ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.55%

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 484.11 ₴ 4.55%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 800.55 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 666.90 ₴ 4.55%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one Covert → нож или перчатки

Variant 2 Mil-Spec → Restricted Variant 3 Restricted → Classified Variant 4 Classified → Covert

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +12 397.08 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 579.21 ₴ historical median

9% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection

If buying now (with float)

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 22 outcomes

More

How to build