The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −17 577.82₸

Invest 490 736.12₸

Average return 473 158.31₸

ROI −3.6%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 1 147 650.65 ₸, profit at most −674 492.34 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −398 747.56 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

427 612.64 ₸

at 106 903.16

Steam

×1

P250 | See Ya Later

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

63 123.48 ₸

at 63 123.48

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 490 736.12 ₸ −17 577.82 (−3.6%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 35%
About break-even 13%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

855 710.94 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

561 812.29 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

497 625.93 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

583 139.42 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

544 567.64 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

317 741.64 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 601 818.57 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

907 158.95 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 735.41 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 974.90 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

649 849.61 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

859 454.85 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

777 133.01 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

653 325.68 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

544 113.57 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

445 230.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

859 963.12 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

176 875.55 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

94 855.28 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

76 153.16 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

63 998.06 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

35 985.21 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

125 289.92 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

67 612.51 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

48 106.42 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

33 874.40 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

34 544.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

24 961.30 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 494.46 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

118 767.75 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

76 189.24 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

59 611.93 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

43 805.87 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

41 680.47 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

155 009.48 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

173 353.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

92 575.62 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

64 249.81 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

65 745.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

30 289.19 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

244 760.02 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 4 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 427 612.64 → 1 011 303.90 ₸

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 63 123.48 → 136 346.72 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −30 707.51 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −19 061.64 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2140039 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −17 577.83₸ · invest 490 736.12₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2140013 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −18 795.44₸ · invest 535 310.57₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 2140014 · The Breakout Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −18 795.44₸ · invest 535 310.57₸
outcome without sales no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 2140033 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −19 052.45₸ · invest 482 247.43₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 2140034 · The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −19 052.45₸ · invest 482 247.43₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New); M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build