Knives and gloves · The Breakout Collection
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The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5 About the craft Craft 2140046 · ways to build: 4 A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes. The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profit Average profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment. −1 207.14₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase. 87 673.06₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances. 86 465.92₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment. −1.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input. 51%

If buying now (with float)

invest at least 205 773.81₽ · profit at most −119 307.89₽ (−58.0%) · chance of profit at most 6%

The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.

The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 4 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 80 000.00 → 189 200.00 ₽
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7 673.06 → 16 573.81 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Check:
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To calculator I have items
The gain is understated. 6 outcomes have no price on Steam: they are above its cap and are not listed on the market. They count as zero in the calculation and account for 18.5% of the probability.
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 10. They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 56.9% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −70 898.26 ₽.
+ a third collection

How to build Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

10% of lots fit ≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0070
80 000.00 ₽
at 20 000.00
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.014131wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 125 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 23 856.01 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 123 · from 37 189.03 ₽ (float 0.0006) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy 0.0000–0.0070
7 673.06 ₽
at 7 673.06
Steam
BuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGO
Purchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.011040wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 35 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0, new listings per day: fewer than one · little data, days: 2
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 199 · from 8 607.75 ₽ (float 0.0043) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
Set · 5 pcs 87 673.06 ₽ −1 207.14 (−1.4%) Average float of the set average normalized 0.013513414 outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000 «No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.

What you get 26 outcomes

  • Profitable outcome 45%
  • Losing outcome 25%
  • About break-even 12%
  • Above the Steam cap 18%
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.001081
160 090.86 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 156 889.04 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 160 090.86 ₽ listings 280 · you get 156 889.04 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 178 481.05 ₽ (you get 155 200.91 ₽)) · buy orders: 3645 sell on Market.CSGO: 172 800.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 189 473.69 · lots 24 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 165 194.04 ₽ listings: 279 on CS.Money: ~ 195 140.34 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 176 758.47 ₽ listings: 177
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
float up to 0.013378
105 106.77 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 103 004.63 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 105 106.77 ₽ listings 156 · you get 103 004.63 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 161 409.59 ₽ (you get 140 356.16 ₽)) · buy orders: 1378 sell on Market.CSGO: 117 648.00 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 129 000.00 · lots 13 on CSFloat: from 104 506.03 ₽ listings: 153 on CS.Money: ~ 126 897.21 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 113 352.31 ₽ listings: 31
about break-even
★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
93 098.45 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 91 236.48 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 93 098.45 ₽ listings 10 · you get 91 236.48 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 100 422.31 ₽ (you get 87 323.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 505 sell on Market.CSGO: 100 598.50 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 110 305.38 · lots 4 on CSFloat: from 92 665.71 ₽ listings: 10 on CS.Money: ~ 97 158.03 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 94 045.15 ₽ listings: 8
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Stained
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
109 096.76 ₽ 6.15%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 94 866.75 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 90 355.98 ₽ (you get 78 570.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 361 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 73 853.45 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 78 187.04 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 76 370.41 ₽ listings: 5
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
101 880.55 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 99 842.93 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 101 880.55 ₽ listings 20 · you get 99 842.93 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 145 387.72 ₽ (you get 126 424.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 414 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 108 286.99 ₽ listings: 20 on CS.Money: ~ 107 320.10 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 113 254.69 ₽ listings: 3
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
59 444.76 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 58 255.86 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 59 444.76 ₽ listings 5 · you get 58 255.86 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 61 024.67 ₽ (you get 53 064.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 127 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 59 436.75 ₽ listings: 5 Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New) sell now to a buy order: 79 598.56 ₽ (you get 69 216.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 134 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 77 586.87 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 66 950.28 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 75 055.48 ₽ listings: 4
in profit
best
★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
299 676.56 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 293 683.02 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 299 676.56 ₽ listings 4 · you get 293 683.02 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 176 887.99 ₽ (you get 153 815.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 177 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 299 636.18 ₽ listings: 3 on CS.Money: ~ 376 566.01 ₽ Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife | Night
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
169 716.02 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 166 321.69 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 169 716.02 ₽ listings 3 · you get 166 321.69 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 106 133.39 ₽ (you get 92 289.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 153 Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 169 693.16 ₽ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
72 165.39 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 70 722.08 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 72 165.39 ₽ listings 7 · you get 70 722.08 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 74 343.07 ₽ (you get 64 646.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 252 not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 72 155.67 ₽ listings: 7 Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New) sell now to a buy order: 58 857.73 ₽ (you get 51 180.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 124 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price on Lis-Skins: from 59 066.63 ₽ listings: 10
about break-even
★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
86 428.67 ₽ 6.15%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 84 700.09 ₽ no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 86 428.67 ₽ listings 11 · you get 84 700.09 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 68 293.66 ₽ (you get 59 385.79 ₽)) · buy orders: 146 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 86 417.03 ₽ listings: 10 Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
in profit
★ Butterfly Knife
no wear
121 577.25 ₽ 6.15%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Butterfly Knifenet 105 719.35 ₽ sells 3 a week no buy orders sell on Market.CSGO: 106 699.44 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 116 995.00 · lots 5 on CSFloat: from 91 425.48 ₽ listings: 88 on CS.Money: ~ 110 127.38 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 97 073.99 ₽ listings: 82
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.001081
20 205.12 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 17 569.67 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 1 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 18 575.87 ₽ (you get 16 152.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 914 sell on Market.CSGO: 15 229.48 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 16 699.00 · lots 23 price ignores float on CSFloat: from 14 462.54 ₽ listings: 85 on CS.Money: ~ 15 606.85 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 14 836.90 ₽ listings: 41
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter
Factory New
float up to 0.013378
22 357.52 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 19 441.32 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 21 515.93 ₽ (you get 18 709.50 ₽)) · buy orders: 372 sell on Market.CSGO: 17 112.02 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 18 763.19 · lots 24 on CSFloat: from 15 044.88 ₽ listings: 27 on CS.Money: ~ 16 638.25 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 16 597.50 ₽ listings: 39
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
28 508.89 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 24 790.34 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 24 799.50 ₽ (you get 21 564.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 197 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
in profit
★ Bowie Knife | Stained
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
123 534.20 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 107 421.04 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
93 980.58 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 81 722.24 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
no buy orders not listed on Market.CSGO right now on CSFloat: from 37 351.17 ₽ listings: 6 on CS.Money: ~ 31 348.67 ₽
★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)The Wildfire Collection no buy orders Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
17 996.36 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 15 649.01 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 13 446.10 ₽ (you get 11 692.26 ₽)) · buy orders: 99 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price CSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)The Wildfire Collection sell now to a buy order: 46 796.54 ₽ (you get 40 692.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 74 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Night
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
31 938.70 ₽ 1.54%
sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Night (Factory New)net 31 299.92 ₽The Wildfire Collection no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 31 938.70 ₽ listings 3 · you get 31 299.92 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price) ignoring float and pattern sell now to a buy order: 11 449.43 ₽ (you get 9 956.02 ₽)) · buy orders: 110 Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price on CSFloat: from 31 934.40 ₽ listings: 3 Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Bowie Knife | Scorched
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
16 999.00 ₽ 1.54%
price without deals pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 14 781.74 ₽The Wildfire Collection
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 7 562.89 ₽ (you get 6 576.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 65 not listed on Market.CSGO right now CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Wildfire Collection sell now to a buy order: 12 473.00 ₽ (you get 10 846.08 ₽)) · buy orders: 47 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)The Wildfire Collection sell now to a buy order: 13 559.94 ₽ (you get 11 791.25 ₽)) · buy orders: 33 not listed on Market.CSGO right now
at a loss
worst
★ Bowie Knife
no wear
7 638.23 ₽ 1.54%
pricier variants exist
Steam ★ Bowie Knifenet 6 641.94 ₽The Wildfire Collection sells 15 a week sell now to a buy order: 7 781.77 ₽ (you get 6 766.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 1141 sell on Market.CSGO: 6 592.57 ₽ to your card cheapest lot 7 228.70 · lots 12 on CSFloat: from 6 365.83 ₽ listings: 23 on CS.Money: ~ 7 218.11 ₽ on Lis-Skins: from 6 291.97 ₽ listings: 39

Craft variants Craft variants One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection
Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection
Chains Pretty floats Interesting Cases Favorites From inventory Proven in practice How crafts work