The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −1 404.99₴

Invest 17 059.51₴

Average return 15 654.52₴

ROI −8.2%

Chance of profit 22%

With float: invest at least 39 129.83 ₴, profit at most −23 475.31 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −3 132.42 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

5 931.26 ₴

at 5 931.26

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

11 128.25 ₴

at 2 782.06

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 059.51 ₴ −1 404.99 (−8.2%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 22%
Losing outcome 65%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 441.73 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

10 808.30 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

10 991.38 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 946.59 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

29 938.86 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 070.59 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 728.92 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 914.64 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 679.28 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 345.88 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 665.26 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

69 689.54 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

36 800.38 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

75 786.91 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

53 657.65 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

57 860.78 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

36 166.03 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 683.16 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

5 434.01 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

7 237.13 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

10 060.01 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 699.41 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 696.00 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 944.84 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

3 044.49 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 743.15 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

5 080.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

2 893.04 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2 269.18 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 199.00 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 061.93 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

10 989.70 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

8 807.50 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 527.53 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 220.27 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 653.90 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 500.53 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

7 547.35 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

12 121.83 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 495.26 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 587.37 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 1 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 5 931.26 → 12 811.52 ₴

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 4 10% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 11 128.25 → 26 318.31 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 874.30 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −1 375.61 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2140053 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −1 298.50₴ · invest 18 256.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006609 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2140054 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −1 298.50₴ · invest 18 256.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006609 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2140074 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −1 404.99₴ · invest 17 059.51₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2140127 · The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −1 405.73₴ · invest 17 800.13₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007304
Craft 2140128 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −1 405.73₴ · invest 17 800.13₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007304

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build