The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +367.76$

Invest 418.52$

Average return 786.28$

ROI +87.9%

Chance of profit 64%

With float: invest at least 977.65 $, profit at most −191.37 $

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 1.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −84.30 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

13% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

59.22 $

at 59.22

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

359.30 $

at 89.82

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 418.52 $ +367.76 (+87.9%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 3.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −30 $

12% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

118.44 $

at 59.22

Steam

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

269.47 $

at 89.82

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 387.91 $ +296.60 (+76.5%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −99 $

11% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

177.66 $

at 59.22

Steam

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

179.65 $

at 89.82

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 357.31 $ +225.45 (+63.1%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −167 $

10% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

236.88 $

at 59.22

Steam

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

89.82 $

at 89.82

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 326.71 $ +154.29 (+47.2%)

What you get 76 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

381.51 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

978.81 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

406.61 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

345.00 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

973.42 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

706.71 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

383.92 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 066.79 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 894.73 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

998.99 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

566.13 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 096.24 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

821.59 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 400.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 001.17 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

950.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

925.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

610.56 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 700.00 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 634.68 $ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

223.86 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

985.16 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

308.02 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

423.92 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

112.98 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

104.09 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

201.13 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

148.44 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

201.48 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186.86 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

682.72 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100.00 $ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84.98 $ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

457.00 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

519.01 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

615.61 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

375.85 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

826.34 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

540.02 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 254.62 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.00 $ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339.00 $ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

364.89 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Stiletto Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

482.44 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

195.50 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

184.58 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

215.00 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

162.54 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

253.41 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.80 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175.02 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.23 $ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

179.93 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

240.18 $ 0.38%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

321.79 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Ursus Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

660.61 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 073.51 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

1 012.95 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

960.90 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

523.91 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

1 712.48 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550.01 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

541.81 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Talon Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

584.43 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 354.53 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Talon Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 706.81 $ 0.38%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

about break-even

★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

430.00 $ 0.38%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife

no wear

87.16 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Navaja Knife

no wear

46.72 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife

no wear

207.00 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife

no wear

373.75 $ 0.38%

pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 59.22 → 127.92 $

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 4 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 359.30 → 849.74 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Clutch Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +340.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +365.20 $ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2140507 · The Recoil Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 367.76$ · invest 418.52$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2140107 · The Recoil Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 359.91$ · invest 421.19$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2140109 · The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 359.91$ · invest 421.19$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2141337 · The Vanguard Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 357.03$ · invest 459.31$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009154 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2141340 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 357.03$ · invest 459.31$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009154 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2141237 · The Recoil Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 355.90$ · invest 460.44$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2141239 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 355.90$ · invest 460.44$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 2141347 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 345.56$ · invest 470.78$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2141348 · The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 345.56$ · invest 470.78$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2141323 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 342.09$ · invest 474.25$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2141324 · The Recoil Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 342.09$ · invest 474.25$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2140847 · The Recoil Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 340.27$ · invest 430.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2140848 · The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 340.27$ · invest 430.27$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2139943 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 339.90$ · invest 476.44$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2139944 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 339.90$ · invest 476.44$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2141073 · The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 336.42$ · invest 447.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.008758
Craft 2141075 · The Huntsman Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 336.42$ · invest 447.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −3 $ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.008758

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 76 outcomes

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How to build