The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +149 632.64₸

Invest 220 922.13₸

Average return 370 554.77₸

ROI +67.7%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 514 073.02 ₸, profit at most −143 518.24 ₸

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −81 007.61 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0121

41 013.84 ₸

at 41 013.84

Steam

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0121

179 908.29 ₸

at 44 977.07

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 220 922.13 ₸ +149 632.64 (+67.7%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

277 948.94 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510 719.78 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

228 303.66 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

143 104.15 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

226 333.27 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 332.04 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

439 368.65 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 922.06 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

634 472.05 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 113 045.20 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186 918.12 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 635.24 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

719 675.56 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

128 991.88 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

461 377.25 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 442.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

564 264.52 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 541 323.37 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 071 217.71 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

307 518.60 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

116 789.33 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

255 875.78 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 097.86 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 876.35 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

107 999.88 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

119 504.83 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 384.98 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

660 311.79 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

502 342.55 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 193.68 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

170 717.91 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 862.61 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 827.67 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +134 334.16 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +152 254.02 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 23 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2141381 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 149 632.66₸ · invest 220 922.13₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2141389 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 146 573.16₸ · invest 245 785.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141390 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 146 573.16₸ · invest 245 785.37₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141299 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 145 047.27₸ · invest 225 627.28₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141300 · The Prisma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 145 047.27₸ · invest 225 627.28₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141113 · The Revolution Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 142 202.69₸ · invest 216 439.78₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141114 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 142 202.69₸ · invest 216 439.78₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140943 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 141 328.05₸ · invest 253 559.93₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140944 · The Gamma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 141 328.05₸ · invest 253 559.93₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011546 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140325 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 140 264.97₸ · invest 246 959.33₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140326 · The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 140 264.97₸ · invest 246 959.33₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2139861 · The Revolution Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 139 387.32₸ · invest 252 971.21₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2139862 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 139 387.32₸ · invest 252 971.21₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140913 · The Revolution Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 139 147.54₸ · invest 255 740.44₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140914 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 139 147.54₸ · invest 255 740.44₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140817 · The Revolution Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 139 076.87₸ · invest 223 191.54₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140818 · The Fever Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 139 076.87₸ · invest 223 191.54₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141369 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 138 507.14₸ · invest 243 031.97₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141370 · The Revolution Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 138 507.14₸ · invest 243 031.97₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012446 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141363 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 137 032.52₸ · invest 234 543.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2141364 · The Revolution Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 137 032.52₸ · invest 234 543.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140187 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 135 359.06₸ · invest 251 865.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.012146
Craft 2140188 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 135 359.06₸ · invest 251 865.24₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.012146

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build