The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit −57 903.09₸

Invest 127 494.69₸

Average return 69 591.60₸

ROI −45.4%

Chance of profit 11%

With float: invest 127 964.21 ₸, profit −58 372.61 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −66 903.46 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (by listings)

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

any lot

41 718.87 ₸

at 20 859.43

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

52 187.82 ₸

at 26 093.91

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish

Battle-Scarred

any lot

33 588.00 ₸

at 33 588.00

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 127 494.69 ₸ −57 903.09 (−45.4%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 11%
Losing outcome 82%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

101 558.31 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

72 614.08 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

57 918.54 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

90 867.96 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

48 254.04 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

39 140.84 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

124 775.82 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

50 794.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

30 289.34 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

55 876.79 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

48 106.51 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

177 782.52 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

726 092.39 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.433920

248 641.24 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

363 270.37 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.768400

435 204.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

308 591.22 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.452000

274 121.42 ₸ 0.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

154 298.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.433920

38 482.85 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.587600

43 028.70 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.768400

60 000.06 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

33 140.08 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.452000

36 880.90 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

58 409.50 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.433920

29 687.10 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

29 639.74 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.768400

27 659.51 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

22 100.05 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.452000

22 769.96 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

131 612.40 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.433920

33 141.52 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

42 276.69 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.768400

40 971.40 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

28 329.58 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.452000

23 839.48 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

137 148.45 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Well-Worn

float up to 0.433920

36 442.01 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.587600

44 899.46 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.768400

54 797.17 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

33 500.88 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.452000

29 969.43 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 41 718.87 → 41 927.46 ₸

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 52 187.82 → 52 448.76 ₸

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 33 588.00 → 33 588.00 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.904000000

outcomes come out up to 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.000000, 0.072320, 0.433920, 0.904000, 0.768400, 0.904000, 0.452000, 0.072320, 0.433920, 0.587600, 0.768400, 0.904000, 0.452000, 0.072320, 0.433920, 0.904000, 0.768400, 0.904000, 0.452000, 0.072320, 0.433920, 0.904000, 0.768400, 0.904000, 0.452000, 0.072320, 0.433920, 0.587600, 0.768400, 0.904000, 0.452000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −66 693.61 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −60 929.16 ₸ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2143315 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −56 959.20₸ · invest 126 581.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377245 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499401 instead of 0.500000
Craft 2143322 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −56 959.20₸ · invest 126 581.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred); ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377245 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499401 instead of 0.500000
Craft 2143316 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −56 989.85₸ · invest 126 581.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143323 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit −56 989.85₸ · invest 126 581.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143201 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −57 872.42₸ · invest 127 494.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.993413 instead of 1.000000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377245 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499401 instead of 0.500000
Craft 2143208 · The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −57 872.42₸ · invest 127 494.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377245 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499401 instead of 0.500000; StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.993413 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2143202 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −57 903.07₸ · invest 127 494.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2143246 · The Gallery Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −60 528.98₸ · invest 115 421.01₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143250 · The CS20 Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −60 528.98₸ · invest 115 421.01₸
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143418 · The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −61 128.64₸ · invest 120 632.56₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143424 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −61 128.64₸ · invest 120 632.56₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AK-47 | Nightwish (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build