The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −149.74$

Invest 278.78$

Average return 129.04$

ROI −53.7%

Chance of profit 6%

With float: invest 279.81 $, profit −150.77 $

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 7.7% of the chance

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 2 contracts · medium (by listings)

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Field-Tested

any lot

91.93 $

at 45.97

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration

Battle-Scarred

any lot

115.00 $

at 57.50

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast

Battle-Scarred

any lot

71.85 $

at 71.85

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 278.78 $ −149.74 (−53.7%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 6%
Losing outcome 86%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

223.79 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

160.01 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

127.63 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

200.23 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

106.33 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

86.25 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

274.95 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

111.93 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

66.74 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

123.13 $ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

106.01 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Classic Knife

no wear

391.76 $ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Fade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072320

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Field-Tested

float up to 0.236000

265.89 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

176.29 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

128.19 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.904000

208.51 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

82.45 $ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

95.55 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

174.32 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

117.78 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

94.82 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

83.63 $ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.728960

106.01 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife

no wear

197.52 $ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 91.93 → 92.39 $

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) × 2 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 115.00 → 115.57 $

StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.00 71.85 → 71.85 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.904000000

outcomes come out up to 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.000000, 0.072320, 0.236000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.904000, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.728960, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −167.19 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −156.00 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2143430 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −144.30$ · invest 315.31$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143437 · The CS20 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −144.30$ · invest 315.31$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143329 · The Phoenix Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −145.93$ · invest 316.94$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143334 · The CS20 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −145.93$ · invest 316.94$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Well-Worn) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143378 · The Shattered Web Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −149.54$ · invest 284.05$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143382 · The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −149.54$ · invest 284.05$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Stalker (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143214 · The Falchion Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −149.74$ · invest 278.78$
no outcome price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2143386 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −152.84$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143391 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −152.84$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2143387 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −157.24$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377245 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499401 instead of 0.500000
Craft 2143392 · The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −157.24$ · invest 314.11$
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AK-47 | The Empress (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred); StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Field-Tested): float at most 0.377245 instead of 0.380000; StatTrak™ FAMAS | Commemoration (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.499401 instead of 0.500000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build