Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10About the craftCraft 2148191 · ways to build: 1A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+60 528.01₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase.348 645.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.409 173.01₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+17.4%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.17%
From the outcome−47 270.86if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates+107 798.88money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 1 011 070.50₽
· profit at most −601 897.49₽
(−59.5%) · chance of profit at most 8%
The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.
!
The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
Nova | Gila (Factory New) × 5006% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.90348 645.00 → 1 011 070.50 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Check:
⋯ More
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profit only from resale. Without selling the intermediates the craft is at zero or negative:
−47 270.86 ₽.
!
The gain is understated. 3 outcome has no price on Steam: it is above its cap and is not listed on the market. It counts as zero in the calculation and accounts for 12.5% of the probability.
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat / Market.CSGO, outcomes: 14.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 58.3% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −213 339.11 ₽.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
6% of lots fit≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (by listings)
×500
Nova | Gila
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0040
(1% of this wear's listings)
348 645.00 ₽
at 697.29
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details10 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.004054f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 147 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 3 792.27 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 87 · from 2 069.59 ₽ (float 0.0015) · craft not before 18.10 · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves
Craft on only from P90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New), Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 4 738.07 ₽.
Craft on only from SSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 31 804.36 ₽.
Set · 500 pcs348 645.00 ₽
+60 528.01
(+17.4%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out up to 0.069999«No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
24 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Restricted → Classified
50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
sell
FAMAS | Mecha Industries
Factory New
float up to 0.006756
11 621.16 ₽33%
SteamFAMAS | Mecha Industries (Factory New)+5 367.29each above the replacement
craft on
P90 | Shallow Grave
Factory New
float up to 0.010135
4 738.07 ₽33%
SteamP90 | Shallow Grave (Factory New)fetches 4 120.06, no more than the replacement
craft on
Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess
Factory New
float up to 0.009459
4 901.82 ₽33%
SteamSawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New)fetches 4 262.45, no more than the replacement
2
Classified → Covert
5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
sell
M4A4 | Buzz Kill
Factory New
float up to 0.009459
45 013.30 ₽50%
SteamM4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New)+7 337.64each above the replacement
craft on
SSG 08 | Dragonfire
Factory New
float up to 0.006756
31 138.04 ₽50%
SteamSSG 08 | Dragonfire (Factory New)fetches 27 076.56, no more than the replacement
3
Covert → нож или перчатки
1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 71%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 13%
★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap4.17%
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 41 679.63 ₽
(you get 36 243.15 ₽)) · buy orders: 89not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 63 395.97 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 50 200.82 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 54 143.07 ₽listings: 3
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Badlands
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
149 571.11 ₽4.17%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Badlands (Factory New)net 130 061.83 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 58 874.56 ₽
(you get 51 195.26 ₽)) · buy orders: 46Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 61 845.90 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 59 041.17 ₽listings: 4
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Leather
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
84 900.46 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Leather (Factory New)net 83 202.45 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 84 900.46 ₽listings 4 · you get 83 202.45 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 57 486.69 ₽
(you get 49 988.42 ₽)) · buy orders: 55Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 84 561.35 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 75 575.85 ₽listings: 3
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
97 933.53 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter (Factory New)net 95 974.85 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 97 933.53 ₽listings 3 · you get 95 974.85 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 85 879.82 ₽
(you get 74 678.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 48Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 97 920.34 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
56 713.51 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse (Factory New)net 55 579.23 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 56 713.51 ₽listings 6 · you get 55 579.23 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 49 388.15 ₽
(you get 42 946.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 60Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 56 025.91 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap4.17%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint (Factory New)no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 485 959.95 ₽listings: 6
sell now to a buy order: 67 201.78 ₽
(you get 58 436.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 139
sell on Market.CSGO: 70 659.81 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 77 477.87 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 73 768.56 ₽listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 68 399.33 ₽listings: 5
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
289 374.93 ₽4.17%
sell on Market.CSGO
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint (Factory New)net 274 906.18 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 289 374.93 ₽listings 8 · you get 274 906.18 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 231 941.52 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 254 321.85 · lots 9CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 194 857.66 ₽listings: 9
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
88 296.48 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave (Factory New)net 86 530.55 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 88 296.48 ₽listings 6 · you get 86 530.55 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 52 947.90 ₽
(you get 46 041.65 ₽)) · buy orders: 79
sell on Market.CSGO: 103 581.56 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 113 576.28 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 88 284.58 ₽listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 103 287.87 ₽listings: 10
sell now to a buy order: 48 764.50 ₽
(you get 42 403.91 ₽)) · buy orders: 79not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 44 565.89 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
186 356.51 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave (Factory New)net 182 629.37 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 186 356.51 ₽listings 6 · you get 182 629.37 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 176 887.99 ₽
(you get 153 815.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 29
sell on Market.CSGO: 222 943.43 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 244 455.52 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 169 778.05 ₽listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 170 794.17 ₽listings: 11
sell now to a buy order: 70 252.71 ₽
(you get 61 089.31 ₽)) · buy orders: 93Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 63 666.77 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
50 940.28 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 49 921.47 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 50 940.28 ₽listings 5 · you get 49 921.47 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 42 965.54 ₽
(you get 37 361.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 78Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 50 848.53 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 54 516.58 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 51 350.22 ₽listings: 5
about break-even
★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
357 926.76 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Factory New)net 350 768.22 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 357 926.76 ₽listings 6 · you get 350 768.22 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 194 526.41 ₽
(you get 169 153.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 43Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 359 022.85 ₽listings: 7
on Lis-Skins: from 443 574.86 ₽listings: 9
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
764 104.16 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono (Factory New)net 748 822.07 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 764 104.16 ₽listings 4 · you get 748 822.07 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 188 549.26 ₽
(you get 163 955.87 ₽)) · buy orders: 66not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
146 148.50 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation (Factory New)net 143 225.53 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 146 148.50 ₽listings 4 · you get 143 225.53 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 170 746.99 ₽
(you get 148 475.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 38Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 146 128.81 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 172 907.06 ₽listings: 12
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
2 487 583.54 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze (Factory New)net 2 437 831.86 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 487 583.54 ₽listings 4 · you get 2 437 831.86 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 194 526.41 ₽
(you get 169 153.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 77not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 2 487 248.40 ₽listings: 4Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
not on Steam: above the cap4.17%
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 186 806.07 ₽
(you get 162 440.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 53not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 848 890.24 ₽listings: 5
at a loss
★ Sport Gloves | Arid
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
246 211.34 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Arid (Factory New)net 241 287.11 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 246 211.34 ₽listings 8 · you get 241 287.11 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 176 887.99 ₽
(you get 153 815.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 68not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 246 178.17 ₽listings: 8
on Lis-Skins: from 251 855.55 ₽listings: 6
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
1 825 359.09 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Factory New)net 1 788 851.90 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 825 359.09 ₽listings 8 · you get 1 788 851.90 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 187 495.51 ₽
(you get 163 039.57 ₽)) · buy orders: 108
sell now to a buy order: 42 913.08 ₽
(you get 37 315.72 ₽)) · buy orders: 119Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 36 119.43 ₽listings: 7Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
sell now to a buy order: 36 534.02 ₽
(you get 31 768.71 ₽)) · buy orders: 131
sell on Market.CSGO: 42 740.88 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 46 865.00 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 48 386.74 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
at a loss
worst
★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
33 959.34 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite (Factory New)net 33 280.15 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 33 959.34 ₽listings 3 · you get 33 280.15 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 35 633.20 ₽
(you get 30 985.39 ₽)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 32 095.84 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 35 192.81 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 33 954.76 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 26 548.19 ₽listings: 9
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+57 348.13 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+58 501.84 ₽historical median
4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.