Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10About the craftCraft 2148254 · ways to build: 1A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+20 189.81₴
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase.23 982.13₴
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.44 171.94₴
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+84.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.50%
From the outcome+18 649.07if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates+1 540.74money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 69 548.19₴
· profit at most −25 376.25₴
(−36.5%) · chance of profit at most 17%
The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.
!
The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) × 4005% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.9016 199.88 → 46 979.65 ₴
P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New) × 1005% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.907 782.25 → 22 568.54 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Check:
⋯ More
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 7.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 29.2% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −8 049.66 ₴.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
5% of lots fit≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (by listings)
Price understated: Подходит только 5% лотов, а лоты с редким float стоят дороже; 500 pcs needed, and about 180 sell per day — buying will take 3 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.
×400
MAC-10 | Sakkaku
Field-Tested
buy0.2100–0.2189
(4% of this wear's listings)
16 199.88 ₴
at 40.50
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details8 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.218910f′ (normalized) 0.015362wear 0.2100–0.3800on the market 2 977 · good ≈ 134
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 46.05 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 3866) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
×100
P90 | Neoqueen
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0036
(0% of this wear's listings)
7 782.25 ₴
at 77.82
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details2 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.003669f′ (normalized) 0.006115wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 620 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 311.32 ₴
Lis-Skins: no listings with this float (total 221) · data 11.10 15:54 MSK
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves
Craft on only from AWP | Duality (Factory New), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 508.17 ₴.
Craft on only from AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New), M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 4 455.30 ₴.
Set · 500 pcs23 982.13 ₴
+20 189.81
(+84.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out up to 0.069999«No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
24 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Restricted → Classified
50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
AWP | Duality
Factory New
float up to 0.010810
505.99 ₴33%
SteamAWP | Duality (Factory New)fetches 439.99, no more than the replacement
sell
P2000 | Wicked Sick
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
646.20 ₴33%
SteamP2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)+53.75each above the replacement
sell
UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
628.89 ₴33%
SteamUMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)+38.69each above the replacement
2
Classified → Covert
5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
4 455.30 ₴50%
SteamAK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)fetches 3 874.17, no more than the replacement
craft on
M4A4 | Temukau
Factory New
float up to 0.010810
4 652.61 ₴50%
SteamM4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)fetches 4 045.75, no more than the replacement
3
Covert → нож или перчатки
1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
sell now to a buy order: 12 773.83 ₴
(you get 11 107.67 ₴)) · buy orders: 197
sell on Market.CSGO: 12 071.25 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 13 236.03 · lots 30
on CSFloat: from 12 942.43 ₴listings: 20
on Lis-Skins: from 9 388.04 ₴listings: 53
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
50 590.39 ₴4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)net 49 578.58 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 50 590.39 ₴listings 10 · you get 49 578.58 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 60 523.03 ₴
(you get 52 628.71 ₴)) · buy orders: 57Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 50 583.57 ₴listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 56 786.68 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 51 042.47 ₴listings: 15
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Overprint
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
22 615.08 ₴4.17%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)net 19 665.29 ₴
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 17 161.93 ₴
(you get 14 923.42 ₴)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 17 645.51 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 19 348.15 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 17 998.04 ₴listings: 8
on CS.Money: ~ 16 828.98 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 16 593.01 ₴listings: 18
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
14 175.47 ₴4.17%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Factory New)net 12 326.50 ₴
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 10 203.44 ₴
(you get 8 872.55 ₴)) · buy orders: 107
sell on Market.CSGO: 8 170.61 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 8 959.01 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 7 421.62 ₴listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 8 151.10 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 7 948.39 ₴listings: 11
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
22 419.90 ₴4.17%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New)net 19 495.57 ₴sells about 1 a week (data for 6 days of 7))sell now to a buy order: 22 563.20 ₴
(you get 19 620.17 ₴)) · buy orders: 116
sell on Market.CSGO: 18 276.36 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 20 039.88 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 17 470.82 ₴listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 19 788.72 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 18 107.26 ₴listings: 12
sell now to a buy order: 34 571.78 ₴
(you get 30 062.42 ₴)) · buy orders: 51
sell on Market.CSGO: 24 216.35 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 26 553.02 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 25 010.19 ₴listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 23 420.87 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 22 958.82 ₴listings: 13
sell now to a buy order: 22 093.14 ₴
(you get 19 211.42 ₴)) · buy orders: 115
sell on Market.CSGO: 27 026.40 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 29 634.21 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 24 438.92 ₴listings: 15
on Lis-Skins: from 25 759.91 ₴listings: 9
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Transport
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
12 176.29 ₴4.17%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Factory New)net 10 588.08 ₴sells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 12 575.70 ₴
(you get 10 935.39 ₴)) · buy orders: 103
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 461.17 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 12 567.08 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 10 113.03 ₴listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 10 858.70 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 11 337.38 ₴listings: 8
sell now to a buy order: 52 082.27 ₴
(you get 45 288.93 ₴)) · buy orders: 111Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 37 891.94 ₴listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 43 999.76 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 40 569.87 ₴listings: 17
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
110 254.96 ₴4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)net 108 049.85 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 110 254.96 ₴listings 4 · you get 108 049.85 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 95 095.33 ₴
(you get 82 691.59 ₴)) · buy orders: 66
sell on Market.CSGO: 101 916.76 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 111 750.83 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 107 827.36 ₴listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 98 916.20 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 98 381.79 ₴listings: 10
sell now to a buy order: 17 158.26 ₴
(you get 14 920.22 ₴)) · buy orders: 137
sell on Market.CSGO: 16 341.22 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 17 918.01 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 14 905.26 ₴listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 15 653.17 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 15 974.99 ₴listings: 8
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
6 996.92 ₴4.17%
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)net 6 084.27 ₴sells about 1 a week (data for 6 days of 7))sell now to a buy order: 6 343.67 ₴
(you get 5 516.23 ₴)) · buy orders: 88
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 243.25 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 942.16 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 6 247.60 ₴listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 8 926.43 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 7 384.76 ₴listings: 10
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
71 288.93 ₴4.17%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)net 69 863.14 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 71 288.93 ₴listings 16 · you get 69 863.14 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 93 658.14 ₴
(you get 81 441.86 ₴)) · buy orders: 51
sell on Market.CSGO: 76 966.73 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 84 393.35 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 71 279.32 ₴listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 77 919.76 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 77 757.50 ₴listings: 16
sell now to a buy order: 11 191.97 ₴
(you get 9 732.14 ₴)) · buy orders: 100
sell on Market.CSGO: 11 032.43 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 12 096.97 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 8 452.24 ₴listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 9 010.03 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 9 004.19 ₴listings: 15
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
45 702.66 ₴4.17%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 44 788.60 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 45 702.66 ₴listings 11 · you get 44 788.60 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 56 216.16 ₴
(you get 48 883.62 ₴)) · buy orders: 47
sell on Market.CSGO: 53 117.14 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 58 242.48 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 45 696.50 ₴listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 49 169.99 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 56 247.76 ₴listings: 5
sell now to a buy order: 32 254.56 ₴
(you get 28 047.44 ₴)) · buy orders: 148Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 29 215.42 ₴listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 27 003.59 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 27 426.08 ₴listings: 12
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Omega
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
55 894.37 ₴4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)net 54 776.48 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 55 894.37 ₴listings 12 · you get 54 776.48 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 93 653.95 ₴
(you get 81 438.21 ₴)) · buy orders: 28
sell on Market.CSGO: 73 881.11 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 81 009.99 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 55 886.84 ₴listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 71 330.56 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 64 083.34 ₴listings: 10
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Vice
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
251 735.95 ₴4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)net 246 701.23 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 251 735.95 ₴listings 11 · you get 246 701.23 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 102 997.28 ₴
(you get 89 562.85 ₴)) · buy orders: 205
sell on Market.CSGO: 281 913.98 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 309 116.20 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 251 702.03 ₴listings: 12
on Lis-Skins: from 272 370.37 ₴listings: 5
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
106 111.65 ₴4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)net 103 989.41 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 106 111.65 ₴listings 14 · you get 103 989.41 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 102 558.04 ₴
(you get 89 180.90 ₴)) · buy orders: 58
sell on Market.CSGO: 126 466.18 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 138 669.06 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 106 097.35 ₴listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 110 584.84 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 106 280.29 ₴listings: 9
sell now to a buy order: 22 062.64 ₴
(you get 19 184.90 ₴)) · buy orders: 243
sell on Market.CSGO: 21 205.01 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 23 251.11 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 20 360.00 ₴listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 21 004.09 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 19 759.06 ₴listings: 18
sell now to a buy order: 8 878.09 ₴
(you get 7 720.07 ₴)) · buy orders: 152
sell on Market.CSGO: 6 712.08 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 7 359.73 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 6 427.39 ₴listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 7 336.22 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 7 037.77 ₴listings: 6
sell now to a buy order: 19 297.28 ₴
(you get 16 780.24 ₴)) · buy orders: 177Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 15 731.38 ₴listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 17 004.72 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 20 607.66 ₴listings: 3
sell now to a buy order: 4 849.35 ₴
(you get 4 216.82 ₴)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 191.48 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 5 692.41 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 4 786.83 ₴listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 5 025.05 ₴
on Lis-Skins: from 4 888.41 ₴listings: 12
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 5 794.59 ₴ to your card
cheapest lot 6 353.72 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 4 550.86 ₴listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 5 124.39 ₴Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+18 442.83 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+20 574.40 ₴historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.