Restricted → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 10About the craftCraft 2148254 · ways to build: 1A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
Average profitAverage profitPer craft, Steam fee included: the average over all outcomes with their chances minus the investment.+38 131.60₽
Invest InvestBy the cheapest listings of the needed wear, regardless of float. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase.45 294.00₽
Average return Average returnAfter the Steam fee, averaged over outcomes with their chances.83 425.60₽
ROI ROIProfit divided by the investment.+84.2%
Chance of profit Chance of profitThe share of outcomes (by their chances) that pay back the input.50%
From the outcome+35 221.68if you put everything into the next contract without selling
Selling intermediates+2 909.93money arrives in 7 days; buy the replacement right away
If buying now (with float)
invest at least 131 352.60₽
· profit at most −47 927.00₽
(−36.5%) · chance of profit at most 17%
The estimate is made from the market at the time of the nightly check. Since then cheap listings with the needed float may have been bought or relisted. The «Check floats on Steam» button shows the current price.
!
The float window is very narrow: less than 30% of the wear range fits, or more than 10 pieces of one item are needed. The markup was not measured for such a case. The purchase will cost at least the stated number of times more. How much more is unknown, so the investment is shown as “at least” and the profit as “at most”.
MAC-10 | Sakkaku (Field-Tested) × 4005% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.9030 596.00 → 88 728.40 ₽
P90 | Neoqueen (Factory New) × 1005% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.9014 698.00 → 42 624.20 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Check:
⋯ More
!
Sell on a marketplace: CSFloat, outcomes: 7.
They have no price on Steam (above its price cap or nobody listed them); they are counted at the marketplace's cheapest listing minus its fee, ignoring pattern and float. They account for 29.2% of the probability. Money from the marketplace can be withdrawn, while the investment comes from the Steam balance. Without them (as zero, like before) the profit is −15 203.04 ₽.
What to buy
Ways to build
1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
5% of lots fit≈ market listings are not enough for even one chain (by listings)
Price understated: Подходит только 5% лотов, а лоты с редким float стоят дороже; 500 pcs needed, and about 180 sell per day — buying will take 3 days, and the price will move in the meantime. The calculation uses the average price regardless of float, the real purchase will cost more.
×400
MAC-10 | Sakkaku
Field-Tested
buy0.2100–0.2189
(3% of this wear's listings)
30 596.00 ₽
at 76.49
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details8 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.218910f′ (normalized) 0.015362wear 0.2100–0.3800on the market 2 977 · good ≈ 116
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 86.97 ₽
×100
P90 | Neoqueen
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0036
(0% of this wear's listings)
14 698.00 ₽
at 146.98
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase details2 per contract, for each of the 50 first-step contractsexact upper edge 0.003669f′ (normalized) 0.006115wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 620 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 587.97 ₽
500
buy
Restricted
50
50 contracts
Classified
5
5 contracts
Covert
1
1 contract
knife or gloves
Craft on only from AWP | Duality (Factory New), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 959.75 ₽.
Craft on only from AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New), M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New), sell the rest.Buy the missing ones at 8 414.52 ₽.
Set · 500 pcs45 294.00 ₽
+38 131.60
(+84.2%)
Average float of the setaverage normalized 0.013513414all outcomes come out up to 0.069999«No higher than» is a guarantee. Take every item with the float at the upper limit and you get exactly the result shown.
Another set, profit no worse than the best by%
Chain steps
24 outcomesHow the chain goesAll steps are done in one day: a contract's outcome can go straight into the next one; the one-week trade hold doesn't apply to it. Only selling waits seven days: the final outcome and the intermediates worth selling.Finish in the chain builder: with filler from another collection or from your own intermediate items.
1
Restricted → Classified
50 contracts of 10 · 50 items drop
craft on
AWP | Duality
Factory New
float up to 0.010810
955.64 ₽33%
SteamAWP | Duality (Factory New)fetches 830.99, no more than the replacement
sell
P2000 | Wicked Sick
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
1 220.45 ₽33%
SteamP2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New)+101.51each above the replacement
sell
UMP-45 | Wild Child
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
1 187.76 ₽33%
SteamUMP-45 | Wild Child (Factory New)+73.08each above the replacement
2
Classified → Covert
5 contracts of 10 · 5 items drop
craft on
AK-47 | Head Shot
Factory New
float up to 0.013513
8 414.52 ₽50%
SteamAK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New)fetches 7 316.97, no more than the replacement
craft on
M4A4 | Temukau
Factory New
float up to 0.010810
8 787.18 ₽50%
SteamM4A4 | Temukau (Factory New)fetches 7 641.03, no more than the replacement
3
Covert → нож или перчатки
1 contract of 5 · 1 item drops · this is the chain outcome
sell now to a buy order: 24 125.36 ₽
(you get 20 978.57 ₽)) · buy orders: 197
sell on Market.CSGO: 22 650.13 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 24 835.67 · lots 39
on CSFloat: from 25 457.40 ₽listings: 20
on Lis-Skins: from 20 592.61 ₽listings: 85
in profit
★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
95 547.83 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls (Factory New)net 93 636.87 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 95 547.83 ₽listings 10 · you get 93 636.87 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 114 307.17 ₽
(you get 99 397.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 57
sell on Market.CSGO: 130 738.03 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 143 353.11 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 95 547.83 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 107 264.94 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 96 414.66 ₽listings: 16
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Overprint
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
42 712.11 ₽4.17%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Overprint (Factory New)net 37 140.97 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 32 412.98 ₽
(you get 28 185.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 97
sell on Market.CSGO: 36 479.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 39 999.99 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 29 545.36 ₽listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 31 224.69 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 31 820.69 ₽listings: 21
at a loss
★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
26 772.59 ₽4.17%
price without deals
Steam★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal (Factory New)net 23 280.51 ₽
by lot · 0 sales per day
sell now to a buy order: 19 270.79 ₽
(you get 16 757.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 107
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 837.55 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 17 365.74 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 14 264.98 ₽listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 15 419.62 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 864.37 ₽listings: 12
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Turtle
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
42 343.48 ₽4.17%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Turtle (Factory New)net 36 820.42 ₽sells about 1 a week (data for 6 days of 7))sell now to a buy order: 42 614.12 ₽
(you get 37 055.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 116
sell on Market.CSGO: 34 921.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 38 291.66 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 33 445.69 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 38 560.09 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 34 686.08 ₽listings: 10
sell now to a buy order: 65 294.20 ₽
(you get 56 777.56 ₽)) · buy orders: 51
sell on Market.CSGO: 46 291.57 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 50 758.31 · lots 11
on CSFloat: from 48 050.27 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 45 575.42 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 43 924.10 ₽listings: 14
sell now to a buy order: 41 726.33 ₽
(you get 36 283.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 115
sell on Market.CSGO: 51 983.99 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 56 999.99 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 46 700.35 ₽listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 51 036.21 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 48 686.17 ₽listings: 11
at a loss
★ Moto Gloves | Transport
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
22 996.83 ₽4.17%
Steam★ Moto Gloves | Transport (Factory New)net 19 997.24 ₽sells 1 a weeksell now to a buy order: 23 751.17 ₽
(you get 20 653.19 ₽)) · buy orders: 103
sell on Market.CSGO: 21 661.15 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 23 751.27 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 19 102.60 ₽listings: 7
on CS.Money: ~ 20 909.29 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 21 706.50 ₽listings: 7
sell now to a buy order: 98 365.48 ₽
(you get 85 535.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 111
sell on Market.CSGO: 78 796.80 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 86 400.00 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 73 014.40 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 83 111.61 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 76 398.53 ₽listings: 16
in profit
★ Driver Gloves | King Snake
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
208 233.67 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Driver Gloves | King Snake (Factory New)net 204 068.99 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 208 233.67 ₽listings 4 · you get 204 068.99 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 179 602.36 ₽
(you get 156 175.96 ₽)) · buy orders: 66
sell on Market.CSGO: 196 531.90 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 215 495.51 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 208 233.67 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 190 440.23 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 185 735.04 ₽listings: 10
sell now to a buy order: 32 406.05 ₽
(you get 28 179.17 ₽)) · buy orders: 137
sell on Market.CSGO: 38 447.98 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 42 157.88 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 28 154.69 ₽listings: 13
on CS.Money: ~ 29 683.75 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 31 053.19 ₽listings: 6
at a loss
★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
13 214.77 ₽4.17%
Steam★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green (Factory New)net 11 491.10 ₽sells about 1 a week (data for 6 days of 7))sell now to a buy order: 11 981.01 ₽
(you get 10 418.26 ₽)) · buy orders: 88
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 680.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 000.00 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 13 668.97 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 16 861.23 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 998.39 ₽listings: 11
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Fade
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
134 640.25 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Fade (Factory New)net 131 947.44 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 134 640.25 ₽listings 16 · you get 131 947.44 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 176 887.99 ₽
(you get 153 815.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 51
sell on Market.CSGO: 145 363.67 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 159 389.99 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 134 640.25 ₽listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 152 260.49 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 138 865.74 ₽listings: 14
sell now to a buy order: 21 137.78 ₽
(you get 18 380.67 ₽)) · buy orders: 100
sell on Market.CSGO: 17 427.41 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 19 109.01 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 15 197.18 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 16 137.88 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 16 470.69 ₽listings: 17
in profit
★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
86 316.60 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloatpricier variants exist
Steam★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 84 590.26 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 86 316.60 ₽listings 11 · you get 84 590.26 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 106 172.99 ₽
(you get 92 324.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 47Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 86 316.60 ₽listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 91 952.29 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 95 247.28 ₽listings: 7
sell now to a buy order: 60 917.76 ₽
(you get 52 971.96 ₽)) · buy orders: 148Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 55 185.30 ₽listings: 9
on CS.Money: ~ 49 845.06 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 51 740.89 ₽listings: 12
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Omega
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
105 565.23 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Factory New)net 103 453.92 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 105 565.23 ₽listings 12 · you get 103 453.92 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 176 880.08 ₽
(you get 153 808.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 28
sell on Market.CSGO: 139 536.00 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 153 000.00 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 105 565.23 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 132 203.60 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 121 047.68 ₽listings: 9
in profit
best
★ Sport Gloves | Vice
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
475 442.59 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Factory New)net 465 933.73 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 475 442.59 ₽listings 11 · you get 465 933.73 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 194 526.41 ₽
(you get 169 153.40 ₽)) · buy orders: 205
sell on Market.CSGO: 532 438.57 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 583 814.23 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 475 442.59 ₽listings: 11
on Lis-Skins: from 543 319.66 ₽listings: 4
in profit
★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious
Factory New
float up to 0.069999
200 408.39 ₽4.17%
sell on CSFloat
Steam★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious (Factory New)net 196 400.22 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 200 408.39 ₽listings 14 · you get 196 400.22 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 193 696.85 ₽
(you get 168 432.04 ₽)) · buy orders: 58
sell on Market.CSGO: 202 105.25 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 221 606.64 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 200 408.39 ₽listings: 14
on CS.Money: ~ 208 884.85 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 201 690.39 ₽listings: 8
sell now to a buy order: 41 668.74 ₽
(you get 36 233.68 ₽)) · buy orders: 243
sell on Market.CSGO: 41 305.10 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 45 290.68 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 38 697.63 ₽listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 38 687.44 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 35 595.37 ₽listings: 15
sell now to a buy order: 16 767.65 ₽
(you get 14 580.56 ₽)) · buy orders: 152
sell on Market.CSGO: 15 130.08 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 590.00 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 12 225.67 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 13 857.45 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 588.32 ₽listings: 7
sell now to a buy order: 36 445.92 ₽
(you get 31 692.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 177Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 29 715.16 ₽listings: 15
on CS.Money: ~ 32 120.39 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 39 833.60 ₽listings: 3
sell now to a buy order: 9 158.75 ₽
(you get 7 964.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 136
sell on Market.CSGO: 9 827.41 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 10 775.67 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 9 041.90 ₽listings: 16
on CS.Money: ~ 9 387.44 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 10 579.45 ₽listings: 9
no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 949.60 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 12 006.15 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 8 914.55 ₽listings: 12
on CS.Money: ~ 9 593.75 ₽Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Craft variants
Craft variants
The same collection at other rarity tiers: from which quality into which it works here. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week+34 832.16 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week+38 857.97 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
How to read these numbers
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.