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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +519.82₸

Invest 778.58₸

Average return 1 298.39₸

ROI +66.8%

Chance of profit 85%

With float: invest at least 1 966.32 ₸, profit at most −667.93 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

132.03 ₸

at 66.01

souvenirSteam

×8

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

646.55 ₸

at 80.82

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 778.58 ₸ +519.82 (+66.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 85%
Losing outcome 15%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

1 664.05 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

2 668.41 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

1 098.22 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146333

1 234.36 ₸ 20.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Factory New

float up to 0.058333

614.69 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

698.88 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | CaliCamo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 186.09 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Verdant Growth

Factory New

float up to 0.054833

703.42 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 The Train Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 5 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Italy Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +228.02 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +413.98 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2155707 · The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 549.35₸ · invest 891.52₸
sells slowly

Souvenir SG 553 | Lush Ruins (Minimal Wear), Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161624 instead of 0.166103
Craft 2183256 · The Overpass Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 502.28₸ · invest 676.80₸
sells slowly

MP7 | Army Recon (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.166103
Craft 2171518 · The Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 501.23₸ · invest 678.62₸
sells slowly

MP9 | Sand Dashed (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164183 instead of 0.166103
Craft 2151097 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 500.19₸ · invest 830.42₸
sells slowly

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.170180 instead of 0.166103
Craft 2160237 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 493.67₸ · invest 676.80₸
sells slowly

G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New); Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161759 instead of 0.166103

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build