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The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1.41$

Invest 2.43$

Average return 3.83$

ROI +58.0%

Chance of profit 72%

With float: invest at least 5.81 $, profit at most −1.98 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

1.07 $

at 0.21

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1.18 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×1

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1657

0.18 $

at 0.18

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 2.43 $ +1.41 (+58.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 25%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Silver

Factory New

float up to 0.007368

2.20 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Ancient Ritual

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5.32 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Panther Camo

Factory New

float up to 0.046052

5.35 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Tall Grass

Factory New

float up to 0.059868

5.08 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

3.67 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

5.88 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Grassland

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

2.42 $ 2.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.128157

2.72 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 3 The Rising Sun Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 4 only The Ancient Collection Variant 5 The Lake Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Boreal Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.52 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.00 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Ancient Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2155514 · The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection · profit 1.39$ · invest 2.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

M249 | Predator (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161940 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003634 instead of 0.004786
Craft 2152765 · The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 2.59$
sells slowly

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165025 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004572 instead of 0.004786
Craft 2150565 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Ancient Collection · profit 1.34$ · invest 2.36$
sells slowly

Souvenir SG 553 | Bleached (Minimal Wear) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165025 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.004572 instead of 0.004786
Craft 2155515 · The Ancient Collection + The Havoc Collection · profit 1.33$ · invest 2.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −0 $ rare inputs

M249 | Predator (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested)
Craft 2155012 · The Ancient Collection + The Anubis Collection · profit 1.32$ · invest 2.29$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Submerged (Field-Tested) instead of Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched (Field-Tested); Souvenir SSG 08 | Jungle Dashed (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162092 instead of 0.165725; Souvenir Nova | Army Sheen (Factory New): float at most 0.003680 instead of 0.004786

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Ancient Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build