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The Arabesque Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +6.00$

Invest 40.27$

Average return 46.27$

ROI +14.9%

Chance of profit 48%

With float: invest at least 102.10 $, profit at most −55.83 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

32.16 $

at 3.57

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

8.11 $

at 8.11

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.27 $ +6.00 (+14.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 52%

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Eastern Enigma

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

41.68 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Falak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

67.79 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144999

64.80 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Guardian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

35.01 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

18.77 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arabesque Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Chroma 2 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Breakout Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.39 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arabesque Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2156915 · The Arabesque Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 6.36$ · invest 40.25$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164256 instead of 0.165610
Craft 2156934 · The Arabesque Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 6.00$ · invest 37.80$
USP-S | Royal Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165777 instead of 0.165610

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arabesque Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build