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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +38.42$

Invest 51.79$

Average return 90.20$

ROI +74.2%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 124.93 $, profit at most −34.73 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

8.09 $

at 8.09

Steam

×4

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1616

4.50 $

at 1.13

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

39.19 $

at 7.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 51.79 $ +38.42 (+74.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

16.18 $

at 8.09

Steam

×3

MP7 | Powercore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

3.07 $

at 1.02

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

39.19 $

at 7.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.45 $ +25.94 (+44.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

24.27 $

at 8.09

Steam

×3

MP7 | Powercore

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

3.07 $

at 1.02

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

31.35 $

at 7.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.70 $ +19.86 (+33.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

40.46 $

at 8.09

Steam

×2

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

2.25 $

at 1.13

Steam

×3

MP7 | Powercore

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

16.45 $

at 5.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 59.16 $ +7.76 (+13.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −21 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

48.55 $

at 8.09

Steam

×3

Nova | Toy Soldier

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1618

3.38 $

at 1.13

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | High Seas

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

4.93 $

at 4.93

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.86 $ +4.24 (+7.5%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 70%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

26.87 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

283.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

20.92 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

35.97 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Undertow

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

51.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 only The Horizon Collection Variant 4 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +21.47 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.77 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2178402 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 42.04$ · invest 59.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163196 instead of 0.161675; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004016 instead of 0.003553
Craft 2179540 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 39.66$ · invest 49.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163272 instead of 0.161675; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004039 instead of 0.003553
Craft 2171979 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 39.54$ · invest 49.01$
sells slowly rare inputs

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.161675; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003553
Craft 2179735 · The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 39.14$ · invest 51.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.161675; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003553
Craft 2179760 · The Horizon Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 38.86$ · invest 54.78$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163068 instead of 0.161675; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003977 instead of 0.003553
Craft 2179698 · The Horizon Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 38.52$ · invest 50.66$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Highwayman (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.161675; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.003553
Craft 2152576 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 38.37$ · invest 55.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New); Nova | Toy Soldier (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162813 instead of 0.161675; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003899 instead of 0.003553

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build