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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +167.40₴

Invest 219.45₴

Average return 386.85₴

ROI +76.3%

Chance of profit 92%

With float: invest at least 549.16 ₴, profit at most −162.32 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

26.75 ₴

at 26.75

Steam

×1

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

17.93 ₴

at 17.93

Steam

×8

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

174.77 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 219.45 ₴ +167.40 (+76.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 70%
Losing outcome 8%
About break-even 22%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

996.60 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

327.26 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

about break-even

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

258.47 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

304.45 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

161.78 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

355.00 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

147.85 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

149.50 ₴ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +95.21 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +132.47 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 24 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2183002 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 179.51₴ · invest 220.25₴
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2166457 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 178.39₴ · invest 232.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2184686 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 178.21₴ · invest 224.75₴
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2185694 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 177.71₴ · invest 221.82₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2158984 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 177.49₴ · invest 232.50₴
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2176665 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 177.14₴ · invest 214.41₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2165537 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 176.62₴ · invest 219.06₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2160370 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 175.69₴ · invest 209.64₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2154720 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 173.35₴ · invest 224.23₴
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074954 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074954 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2175165 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.94₴ · invest 222.79₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075002 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2171055 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.25₴ · invest 204.82₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074867 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2180793 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.24₴ · invest 206.51₴
rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074998 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074998 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2178964 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 172.05₴ · invest 232.13₴
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074964 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074964 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2174225 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 171.85₴ · invest 208.05₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2183923 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 171.44₴ · invest 215.44₴
rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074902 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2183506 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 170.35₴ · invest 226.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New)
Craft 2186268 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 170.29₴ · invest 211.12₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2172367 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 169.21₴ · invest 231.47₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2167531 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 168.32₴ · invest 210.46₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2184981 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 168.00₴ · invest 210.06₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2186303 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 167.82₴ · invest 216.82₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2162868 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 167.15₴ · invest 225.68₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074924 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2186337 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 165.82₴ · invest 239.23₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | Small Game (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2185360 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 165.63₴ · invest 210.97₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074590; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075061 instead of 0.074590

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build