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The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +73 829.51₸

Invest 183 969.97₸

Average return 257 799.48₸

ROI +40.1%

Chance of profit 80%

With float: invest at least 465 543.75 ₸, profit at most −207 744.22 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −174 032 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

28 785.49 ₸

at 14 392.75

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

155 184.48 ₸

at 19 398.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 183 969.97 ₸ +73 829.51 (+40.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −84 066 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

34 600.86 ₸

at 11 533.62

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

71 963.73 ₸

at 14 392.75

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

17 253.31 ₸

at 8 626.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123 817.91 ₸ +43 820.35 (+35.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −76 286 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

69 201.73 ₸

at 11 533.62

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

43 178.24 ₸

at 14 392.75

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1681

8 626.66 ₸

at 8 626.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121 006.63 ₸ +31 604.80 (+26.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −200 169 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

14 392.75 ₸

at 14 392.75

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

155 184.48 ₸

at 19 398.06

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

35 561.02 ₸

at 35 561.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 205 138.24 ₸ +67 688.14 (+33.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −161 199 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

11 533.62 ₸

at 11 533.62

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

28 785.49 ₸

at 14 392.75

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

135 786.42 ₸

at 19 398.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 176 105.53 ₸ +66 667.11 (+37.9%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 80%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 10%

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

262 105.22 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

399 957.22 ₸ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

114 287.18 ₸ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.064399

202 157.24 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +56 589.99 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +70 136.81 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 20 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2162896 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 80 442.14₸ · invest 147 497.23₸
profit on prices without salesat least −147 497 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074059 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2185014 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 78 670.33₸ · invest 145 423.84₸
profit on prices without salesat least −142 361 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074897 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2165565 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 76 116.73₸ · invest 160 648.72₸
profit on prices without salesat least −150 888 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2172399 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 74 497.51₸ · invest 182 708.30₸
profit on prices without salesat least −182 708 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075417 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2174253 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 74 213.01₸ · invest 142 393.94₸
profit on prices without salesat least −142 394 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New), StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074411 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2180827 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 71 447.32₸ · invest 176 059.56₸
profit on prices without salesat least −165 885 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076762 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2186333 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 71 446.73₸ · invest 184 231.99₸
profit on prices without salesat least −166 662 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076473 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2185392 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 71 445.76₸ · invest 172 537.96₸
profit on prices without salesat least −172 538 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077310 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2167564 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 71 021.31₸ · invest 167 380.84₸
profit on prices without salesat least −159 261 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076666 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2183532 · The Phoenix Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 71 002.82₸ · invest 175 496.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −175 496 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076762 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2176015 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 70 019.50₸ · invest 182 292.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −171 559 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077021 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2173370 · The Fever Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 69 361.62₸ · invest 184 582.85₸
profit on prices without salesat least −184 583 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077310 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2171084 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 69 063.21₸ · invest 173 101.66₸
profit on prices without salesat least −173 102 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077310 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2176691 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 67 868.11₸ · invest 179 942.82₸
profit on prices without salesat least −179 943 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2178048 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 67 445.88₸ · invest 181 278.25₸
profit on prices without salesat least −172 886 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2179556 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 66 237.23₸ · invest 191 496.59₸
profit on prices without salesat least −183 776 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077021 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2183948 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 66 071.61₸ · invest 183 887.55₸
profit on prices without salesat least −183 888 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076715 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2166479 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 64 432.91₸ · invest 194 118.66₸
profit on prices without salesat least −185 306 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Muertos (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 8; StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074571 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2168968 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 63 212.10₸ · invest 175 773.92₸
profit on prices without salesat least −167 071 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076277 instead of 0.075282
Craft 2175201 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 62 753.70₸ · invest 188 712.84₸
profit on prices without salesat least −182 529 ₸ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077021 instead of 0.075282

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build