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The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Average profit +23 557.36₽

Invest 39 947.72₽

Average return 63 505.08₽

ROI +59.0%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 97 929.51 ₽, profit at most −34 424.43 ₽

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −28 815.69 ₽

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

12% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

1 925.99 ₽

at 1 925.99

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0797

6 660.69 ₽

at 2 220.23

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0085

31 361.04 ₽

at 5 226.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 39 947.72 ₽ +23 557.36 (+59.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 857 ₽

12% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

1 104.26 ₽

at 1 104.26

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

15 407.92 ₽

at 1 925.99

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0792

2 220.23 ₽

at 2 220.23

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18 732.41 ₽ +17 042.87 (+91.0%)

11% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

3 851.98 ₽

at 1 925.99

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0789

6 660.69 ₽

at 2 220.23

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

26 134.20 ₽

at 5 226.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 36 646.87 ₽ +23 391.98 (+63.8%)

10% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

5 777.97 ₽

at 1 925.99

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0783

6 660.69 ₽

at 2 220.23

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

20 907.36 ₽

at 5 226.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33 346.02 ₽ +23 226.61 (+69.7%)

10% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

7 703.96 ₽

at 1 925.99

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

6 660.69 ₽

at 2 220.23

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

15 680.52 ₽

at 5 226.84

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30 045.17 ₽ +23 061.23 (+76.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 759.74 ₽ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

20 191.77 ₽ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Asiimov

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 499.99 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ AWP | Neo-Noir

Factory New

float up to 0.015384

7 810.83 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +21 513.30 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23 016.87 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2187519 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 25 731.06₽ · invest 40 560.25₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Corticera (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074512 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.003948 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2184509 · The Prisma Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 23 795.51₽ · invest 38 702.24₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075622 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.004919 instead of 0.008547
Craft 2185879 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 23 512.12₽ · invest 38 951.73₽
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076797 instead of 0.079769; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.005947 instead of 0.008547

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build