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The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +144.24₴

Invest 189.17₴

Average return 333.41₴

ROI +76.2%

Chance of profit 68%

With float: invest at least 454.32 ₴, profit at most −120.91 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

12.12 ₴

at 12.12

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

89.67 ₴

at 17.93

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

87.38 ₴

at 21.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 189.17 ₴ +144.24 (+76.2%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 68%
Losing outcome 33%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

996.60 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

113.73 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.048222

258.47 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

304.45 ₴ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Space Cat

Factory New

float up to 0.052111

60.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

G3SG1 | Dream Glade

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

44.28 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A1-S | Night Terror

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

87.39 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Ticket to Hell

Factory New

float up to 0.059111

103.50 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

51.08 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +80.37 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +111.16 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 18 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2184687 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 152.09₴ · invest 209.10₴
rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2158985 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 151.36₴ · invest 216.85₴
rare inputs

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2160371 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 149.56₴ · invest 193.99₴
rare inputs

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2154721 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 147.22₴ · invest 208.58₴
rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075197 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075197 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2175166 · The Gallery Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 146.81₴ · invest 207.14₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075243 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2178965 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 145.93₴ · invest 216.48₴
rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075207 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075207 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2186269 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 144.16₴ · invest 195.47₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2176666 · The Gamma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 143.68₴ · invest 198.76₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075148 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2179531 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 143.37₴ · invest 217.09₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2186241 · The Shadow Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 141.27₴ · invest 198.92₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2180794 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.96₴ · invest 190.86₴
rare inputs

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075240 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2174226 · The Fracture Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.41₴ · invest 192.40₴
rare inputs

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2167532 · The Clutch Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 140.32₴ · invest 194.80₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2186304 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 139.51₴ · invest 201.17₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2184982 · The Recoil Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 138.12₴ · invest 194.41₴
rare inputs

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075241 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2165538 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 138.10₴ · invest 203.41₴
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075023 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2185361 · The Revolution Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 138.09₴ · invest 195.32₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075300 instead of 0.075114
Craft 2162869 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 136.88₴ · invest 210.03₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075168 instead of 0.075114; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075168 instead of 0.075114

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build