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The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +11.10$

Invest 10.45$

Average return 21.55$

ROI +106.2%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 26.94 $, profit at most −5.39 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

9.30 $

at 1.03

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Exposure

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

1.15 $

at 1.15

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.45 $ +11.10 (+106.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.73 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.022399

26.38 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.34 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.16 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

45.97 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

worst

R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076899

14.13 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Horizon Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7.72 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +10.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2158607 · The Ascent Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 12.01$ · invest 10.02$
sells slowly

USP-S | Royal Guard (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164162 instead of 0.162884
Craft 2172382 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 11.34$ · invest 10.51$
sells slowly

MP7 | Special Delivery (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Exposure (Field-Tested); Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164620 instead of 0.162884

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build