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The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 168.88₸

Invest 2 410.89₸

Average return 3 579.77₸

ROI +48.5%

Chance of profit 66%

With float: invest at least 6 156.68 ₸, profit at most −2 576.96 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

391.37 ₸

at 391.37

Steam

×9

Nova | Yorkshire

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

2 019.51 ₸

at 224.39

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 410.89 ₸ +1 168.88 (+48.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 64%
Losing outcome 34%
About break-even 2%

in profit

Five-SeveN | Heat Treated

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 705.66 ₸ 30.00%

pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Arctic Tri-Tone

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 920.55 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

1 876.21 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 845.40 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 638.76 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

3 961.52 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 384.80 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

468.88 ₸ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Sport & Field Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +652.43 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +873.56 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Sport & Field Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2186755 · The Snakebite Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 284.12₸ · invest 2 240.32₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2183078 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 272.90₸ · invest 2 297.57₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2166570 · The Chroma Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 261.56₸ · invest 2 421.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2184768 · The Radiant Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 259.78₸ · invest 2 343.06₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2164613 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 255.88₸ · invest 2 185.21₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074590 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2185832 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 254.68₸ · invest 2 313.50₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2159051 · The Ascent Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 252.48₸ · invest 2 421.31₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P90 | Reef Grief (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2176788 · The Gamma Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 249.00₸ · invest 2 238.67₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2165681 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 243.73₸ · invest 2 285.65₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2160435 · The Boreal Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 234.28₸ · invest 2 190.51₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

MP5-SD | Gold Leaf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2169094 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 224.70₸ · invest 2 158.65₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074729 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2154783 · The Achroma Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 210.66₸ · invest 2 337.77₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2175356 · The Gallery Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 206.57₸ · invest 2 323.28₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076832 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2171216 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 199.64₸ · invest 2 141.86₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076644 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2180963 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 199.45₸ · invest 2 158.92₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Nova | Dark Sigil (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076827 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2179018 · The Harlequin Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 197.59₸ · invest 2 417.57₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Zeus x27 | Earth Mandala (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076779 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2174369 · The Fracture Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 195.53₸ · invest 2 174.47₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2184050 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 191.45₸ · invest 2 249.09₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076693 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2183638 · The Phoenix Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 180.43₸ · invest 2 358.66₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2186911 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 179.82₸ · invest 2 205.42₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Nova | Yorkshire (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2167689 · The Clutch Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 159.88₸ · invest 2 198.74₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2185150 · The Recoil Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 1 156.73₸ · invest 2 194.73₸
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Sport & Field Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build