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The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +1 122.31₴

Invest 1 576.90₴

Average return 2 699.21₴

ROI +71.2%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 3 722.48 ₴, profit at most −1 023.27 ₴

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

682.35 ₴

at 113.73

Steam

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

775.42 ₴

at 258.47

Steam

×1

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

119.13 ₴

at 119.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 576.90 ₴ +1 122.31 (+71.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0751

341.18 ₴

at 113.73

Steam

×4

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 033.89 ₴

at 258.47

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

357.39 ₴

at 119.13

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 732.46 ₴ +1 105.34 (+63.8%)

1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

258.47 ₴

at 258.47

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

595.66 ₴

at 119.13

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

1 613.16 ₴

at 403.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 467.29 ₴ +786.29 (+31.9%)

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

516.95 ₴

at 258.47

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

595.66 ₴

at 119.13

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 209.87 ₴

at 403.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 322.47 ₴ +861.81 (+37.1%)

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

775.42 ₴

at 258.47

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1642

595.66 ₴

at 119.13

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

806.58 ₴

at 403.29

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 177.66 ₴ +937.33 (+43.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 30%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 038.47 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

about break-even

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

1 747.31 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

1 287.44 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

5 126.83 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.058823

2 515.78 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Spectrum 2 Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +686.01 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1 001.21 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2186348 · The Shadow Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 1 024.27₴ · invest 1 735.50₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078744 instead of 0.075453; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007651 instead of 0.004771

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build