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The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +281.24$

Invest 495.13$

Average return 776.37$

ROI +56.8%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 1 265.36 $, profit at most −488.99 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −495 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

78.36 $

at 78.36

Steam

×9

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

416.77 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 495.13 $ +281.24 (+56.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −506 $

10% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

256.47 $

at 42.75

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

156.72 $

at 78.36

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0781

92.61 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 505.81 $ +160.07 (+31.6%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −502 $

9% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

299.22 $

at 42.75

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0065

156.72 $

at 78.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0774

46.31 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 502.25 $ +147.85 (+29.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −492 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

42.75 $

at 42.75

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

78.36 $

at 78.36

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

370.46 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 491.57 $ +269.02 (+54.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −512 $

7% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Flux

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

170.98 $

at 42.75

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

156.72 $

at 78.36

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

45.01 $

at 45.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

138.92 $

at 46.31

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 511.64 $ +185.81 (+36.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 5%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 712.48 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

float up to 0.044799

109.47 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

577.57 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

881.34 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 only The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +168.94 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +276.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 26 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2185901 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 311.01$ · invest 427.72$
profit on prices without salesat least −428 $ rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | The Executioner (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074284 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2184537 · The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 308.59$ · invest 430.54$
profit on prices without salesat least −431 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075855 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2170237 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 299.26$ · invest 452.02$
profit on prices without salesat least −452 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2163059 · The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 299.08$ · invest 433.28$
profit on prices without salesat least −433 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Death by Puppy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2185245 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 297.78$ · invest 431.76$
profit on prices without salesat least −430 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2165759 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 295.90$ · invest 442.94$
profit on prices without salesat least −436 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Primal Saber (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076905 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2172597 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 295.51$ · invest 447.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −447 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP7 | Nemesis (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075965 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2162024 · The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 294.77$ · invest 448.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −438 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075874 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2174452 · The Fracture Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 294.50$ · invest 429.53$
profit on prices without salesat least −430 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2181063 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 292.15$ · invest 439.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −429 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2187139 · The Spectrum Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 292.15$ · invest 448.77$
profit on prices without salesat least −429 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Xiangliu (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076627 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2185611 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 292.14$ · invest 435.89$
profit on prices without salesat least −436 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Wicked Sick (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2167781 · The Clutch Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 291.68$ · invest 430.21$
profit on prices without salesat least −421 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076737 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2183712 · The Phoenix Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 291.66$ · invest 439.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −439 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Trigon (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076792 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2176185 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 290.57$ · invest 446.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −435 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2173595 · The Fever Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 289.85$ · invest 449.16$
profit on prices without salesat least −449 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2171311 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 289.52$ · invest 436.51$
profit on prices without salesat least −437 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2176861 · The Gamma Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 288.20$ · invest 444.05$
profit on prices without salesat least −444 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Bloodsport (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076395 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2178224 · The Glove Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 287.74$ · invest 445.52$
profit on prices without salesat least −436 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2179727 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 286.41$ · invest 456.78$
profit on prices without salesat least −448 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Devourer (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2184121 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 286.22$ · invest 448.39$
profit on prices without salesat least −448 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076765 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2169195 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 283.07$ · invest 439.45$
profit on prices without salesat least −430 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Momentum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2175459 · The Gallery Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 282.57$ · invest 453.71$
profit on prices without salesat least −447 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Epicenter (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076934 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2186988 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 280.41$ · invest 458.64$
profit on prices without salesat least −440 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076829 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2164685 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 280.28$ · invest 463.48$
profit on prices without salesat least −457 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Djinn (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751
Craft 2186825 · The Snakebite Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 279.91$ · invest 455.09$
profit on prices without salesat least −455 $ rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Food Chain (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Big Iron (Factory New); StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077088 instead of 0.076751

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build