The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +160 811.64₸

Invest 193 538.59₸

Average return 354 350.24₸

ROI +83.1%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 448 972.75 ₸, profit at most −94 622.51 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −47 070.67 ₸

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

13% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0092

42 663.58 ₸

at 42 663.58

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0092

150 875.02 ₸

at 37 718.75

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 193 538.59 ₸ +160 811.64 (+83.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −38 262 ₸

13% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

85 327.15 ₸

at 42 663.58

Steam

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

113 156.26 ₸

at 37 718.75

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 198 483.41 ₸ +103 180.30 (+52.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −91 415 ₸

13% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

127 990.73 ₸

at 42 663.58

Steam

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0089

75 437.51 ₸

at 37 718.75

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 203 428.24 ₸ +45 548.95 (+22.4%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 36%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

173 133.23 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

444 192.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

184 520.75 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

156 444.58 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441 746.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

320 710.44 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

174 225.20 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

484 118.23 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

890 200.94 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

453 350.18 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

256 879.55 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

485 359.12 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

400 888.05 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

723 149.55 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

437 797.17 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

431 059.26 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

419 715.62 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

269 307.66 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 225 197.48 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 195 477.08 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

101 590.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

447 073.56 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 781.64 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192 377.62 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

104 999.53 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

119 504.83 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 384.98 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

660 311.79 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

in profit

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

502 342.55 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

96 193.68 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

170 694.92 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 862.61 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

187 081.04 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

40 827.67 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 only The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +150 941.73 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +160 456.88 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 27 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2189520 · The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 160 811.62₸ · invest 193 538.59₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2189528 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 159 161.31₸ · invest 216 208.60₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189529 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 159 161.31₸ · invest 216 208.60₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189472 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 155 499.49₸ · invest 196 594.00₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189473 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 155 499.49₸ · invest 196 594.00₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189132 · The Recoil Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 155 280.97₸ · invest 221 218.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189133 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 155 280.97₸ · invest 221 218.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188164 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 154 041.38₸ · invest 221 328.53₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188165 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 154 041.38₸ · invest 221 328.53₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189296 · The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 152 565.40₸ · invest 187 246.90₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189298 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 152 565.40₸ · invest 187 246.90₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188082 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 152 426.55₸ · invest 222 943.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010032 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188084 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 152 426.55₸ · invest 222 943.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010032 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188532 · The Recoil Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 150 236.93₸ · invest 218 693.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188533 · The Chroma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 150 236.93₸ · invest 218 693.36₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.005255 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189102 · The Recoil Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 149 792.76₸ · invest 226 707.16₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189103 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 149 792.76₸ · invest 226 707.16₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189006 · The Recoil Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 149 503.30₸ · invest 194 158.26₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189007 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 149 503.30₸ · invest 194 158.26₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189510 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 148 795.73₸ · invest 213 998.69₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189511 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 148 795.73₸ · invest 213 998.69₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189512 · The Spectrum Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 148 607.47₸ · invest 214 186.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189513 · The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 148 607.47₸ · invest 214 186.95₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189502 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 146 874.77₸ · invest 206 366.32₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2189504 · The Recoil Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 146 874.77₸ · invest 206 366.32₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188916 · The Recoil Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 145 496.33₸ · invest 209 800.97₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.009285
Craft 2188917 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 145 496.33₸ · invest 209 800.97₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009701 instead of 0.009285

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build