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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ascent Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.99$

Invest 6.02$

Average return 9.02$

ROI +49.7%

Chance of profit 52%

With float: invest at least 14.44 $, profit at most −5.42 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

0.77 $

at 0.77

Steam

×7

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3.42 $

at 0.49

Steam

×2

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

1.83 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.02 $ +2.99 (+49.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

1.54 $

at 0.77

Steam

×6

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

2.93 $

at 0.49

Steam

×2

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

1.83 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.31 $ +2.64 (+41.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2.32 $

at 0.77

Steam

×6

P90 | Reef Grief

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

2.93 $

at 0.49

Steam

×1

P2000 | Royal Baroque

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

0.91 $

at 0.91

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.16 $ +2.71 (+44.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.58 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Royal Guard

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

5.32 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

12.59 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.023333

12.54 $ 3.33%

pricier variants exist

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Vino Primo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093333

3.76 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The Ascent Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.54 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2207434 · The Ascent Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 2.92$ · invest 5.63$
XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006363 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2203217 · The Achroma Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 2.87$ · invest 5.95$
P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077323 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006408 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207481 · The Ascent Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 2.85$ · invest 5.62$
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075599 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004899 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207548 · The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2.80$ · invest 5.52$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076476 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.005666 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207831 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2.79$ · invest 5.84$
Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077142 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006249 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207859 · The Ascent Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 2.79$ · invest 5.86$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075501 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.004814 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207527 · The Ascent Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 2.78$ · invest 5.60$
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075859 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.005126 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207549 · The Ascent Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2.78$ · invest 5.52$
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077238 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006333 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207641 · The Ascent Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 2.77$ · invest 5.74$
SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077272 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006363 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2208002 · The Ascent Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2.77$ · invest 5.66$
SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077142 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006249 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2207748 · The Ascent Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 2.74$ · invest 5.54$
Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077367 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006446 instead of 0.003999
Craft 2208015 · The Ascent Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2.71$ · invest 5.79$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Reef Grief (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077142 instead of 0.074571; P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New): float at most 0.006249 instead of 0.003999

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build