to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +2.47$

Invest 3.68$

Average return 6.15$

ROI +67.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 8.54 $, profit at most −2.39 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Cold Fusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.22 $

at 0.22

Steam

×5

M4A4 | Mainframe

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1.29 $

at 0.26

Steam

×1

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

0.30 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×3

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

1.88 $

at 0.63

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.68 $ +2.47 (+67.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 45%
About break-even 10%

in profit

AWP | Acheron

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9.50 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Co-Processor

Factory New

float up to 0.042168

2.01 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

float up to 0.042168

1.89 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

float up to 0.042168

1.90 $ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.042168

4.09 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.046385

7.64 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.041325

6.06 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.046385

30.00 $ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.22 → 0.48 $

M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 1.29 → 3.18 $

Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 0.30 → 0.64 $

CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 1.88 → 4.24 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.084337249

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.042168, 0.042168, 0.042168, 0.042168, 0.046385, 0.041325, 0.046385

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

Variant 2 The Bank Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Overpass 2024 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Train Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.30 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.84 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Mirage Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2200526 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 2.88$ · invest 3.67$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear), M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162805 instead of 0.162338; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074454 instead of 0.074291
Craft 2201072 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 2.84$ · invest 3.62$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Basket Halftone (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear), M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163095 instead of 0.162338; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 3; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074555 instead of 0.074291
Craft 2200527 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 2.42$ · invest 3.18$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Tiger Tear (Factory New) instead of Galil AR | Cold Fusion (Minimal Wear), M4A4 | Mainframe (Factory New); Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 1; Souvenir FAMAS | CaliCamo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163363 instead of 0.162338; CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074648 instead of 0.074291

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build