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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6.27$

Invest 16.68$

Average return 22.95$

ROI +37.6%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 40.19 $, profit at most −17.24 $

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

1.53 $

at 0.51

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

11.46 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1723

3.68 $

at 3.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.68 $ +6.27 (+37.6%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 65%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

12.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

45.04 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.36 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

6.20 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

134.26 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

17.57 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

22.79 $ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Cache Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.59 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.79 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Arms Deal 3 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2198749 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection · profit 6.87$ · invest 17.01$
profit on prices without salesat least −2 $ rare inputs

Souvenir Nova | Interlock (Minimal Wear) instead of CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077769; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006798
Craft 2199110 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 6.48$ · invest 14.12$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Berry Gel Coat (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Field-Tested); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074603 instead of 0.077769; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004027 instead of 0.006798

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build