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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +6.19$

Invest 10.78$

Average return 16.97$

ROI +57.5%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 25.64 $, profit at most −8.67 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

2.56 $

at 0.51

Steam

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

7.64 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

MP9 | Modest Threat

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

0.58 $

at 0.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.78 $ +6.19 (+57.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

0.18 $

at 0.18

Steam

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.51 $

at 0.51

Steam

×2

SG 553 | Danger Close

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

0.66 $

at 0.33

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

2.07 $

at 0.34

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.42 $ +2.54 (+74.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 40%
About break-even 30%

about break-even

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

12.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.054444

45.04 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077777

6.44 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.050555

2.37 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

2.20 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6.01 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.031111

2.25 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.038888

3.30 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 6 The Anubis Collection instead of The Danger Zone Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.72 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2199062 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 6.36$ · invest 10.88$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076770 instead of 0.074281; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005924 instead of 0.003746
Craft 2199358 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 6.34$ · invest 11.20$
rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074148 instead of 0.074281; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003629 instead of 0.003746
Craft 2198739 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 6.34$ · invest 12.18$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079821 instead of 0.074281; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.008593 instead of 0.003746
Craft 2199373 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 6.30$ · invest 10.68$
UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076588 instead of 0.074281; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005764 instead of 0.003746
Craft 2199464 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 6.15$ · invest 11.59$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075833 instead of 0.074281; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005104 instead of 0.003746
Craft 2199148 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 6.01$ · invest 11.60$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Twist (Minimal Wear) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074503 instead of 0.074281; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003940 instead of 0.003746
Craft 2199268 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 5.91$ · invest 11.36$
rare inputs

FAMAS | Crypsis (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074183 instead of 0.074281; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003660 instead of 0.003746

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build