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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: no nightly check, the numbers below are at average prices

Average profit +7.39$

Invest 12.31$

Average return 19.70$

ROI +60.1%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 29.96 $, profit at most −10.26 $

Check:

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

2.05 $

at 0.51

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

9.55 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

0.71 $

at 0.71

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 12.31 $ +7.39 (+60.1%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

12.50 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

45.04 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15.36 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

5.15 $ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19.04 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

9.01 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4.94 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

1.08 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection Variant 5 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +4.31 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.96 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 25 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2199265 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 8.06$ · invest 12.08$
sells slowly

MP7 | Mischief (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074233 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003704 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198056 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2018 Nuke Collection · profit 7.81$ · invest 12.37$
sells slowly pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075056 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.004424 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199365 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 7.71$ · invest 13.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Warbird (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075791 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005067 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199372 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 7.53$ · invest 12.07$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199232 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 7.50$ · invest 12.19$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199290 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 7.47$ · invest 12.31$
sells slowly

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199142 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 7.43$ · invest 12.59$
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199077 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 7.43$ · invest 12.08$
sells slowly

SG 553 | Aerial (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198945 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 7.43$ · invest 11.97$
sells slowly

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076086 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005326 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198960 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 7.42$ · invest 12.49$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Quicksilver (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198864 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Ascent Collection · profit 7.41$ · invest 12.51$
sells slowly

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199255 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 7.41$ · invest 12.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076129 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.005363 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199321 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 7.41$ · invest 12.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198901 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Boreal Collection · profit 7.41$ · invest 11.98$
sells slowly

XM1014 | Copperflage (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199357 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 7.38$ · invest 12.60$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198984 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 7.37$ · invest 11.93$
sells slowly

SG 553 | Danger Close (Minimal Wear) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074208 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.003682 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198777 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 7.36$ · invest 12.30$
sells slowly

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077736 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006769 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199165 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 7.34$ · invest 11.89$
sells slowly

Dual Berettas | Hideout (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077776 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006804 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199004 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 7.33$ · invest 11.86$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077656 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006699 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199127 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 7.32$ · invest 12.47$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2199049 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 7.32$ · invest 11.93$
sells slowly

SG 553 | Ol' Rusty (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2199261 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 7.30$ · invest 12.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

R8 Revolver | Bone Forged (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2198954 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 7.30$ · invest 12.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199060 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 7.29$ · invest 12.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077779 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006807 instead of 0.006805
Craft 2199381 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 7.26$ · invest 12.01$
sells slowly

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.077777; P90 | Facility Negative (Factory New): float at most 0.006621 instead of 0.006805

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build